Prediction for match Goztepe — Fatih Karagümrük

Odds and Probabilities of Match Outcome

In the Turkish Süper Lig match between Goztepe and Fatih Karagümrük, scheduled for January 31, 2026, the bookmakers clearly favor Goztepe. A win for Goztepe is priced at 1.53, a draw at 4.32, and a victory for Fatih Karagümrük at 6.86. The probabilities for the main outcomes are distributed as follows: Goztepe 63.40%, draw 22.46%, Fatih Karagümrük 14.14%. This reflects Goztepe's advantage in terms of overall statistical indicators and current form, as well as the low likelihood of success for Fatih Karagümrük in this matchup. The odds for a Goztepe win are in the range often chosen for bets on the favorite, and the gap in probabilities between the teams is quite significant.

Team Statistics and Scores

In their last five matches, Goztepe has the following stats: 33.4% possession, an average of 3 yellow cards, 17.6 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last three games, Goztepe played as follows: January 25, 2026, Fenerbahçe - Goztepe 1-1, January 19, 2026, Goztepe - Rizespor 3-1, December 21, 2025, Goztepe - Samsunspor 2-0. Fatih Karagümrük, in the same period, has 45% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 3.4 offsides. Their last three matches: January 24, 2026, Fatih Karagümrük - Galatasaray 1-3, January 17, 2026, Istanbul Başakşehir - Fatih Karagümrük 2-1, December 21, 2025, Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrük 2-0. In the head-to-head meeting on August 22, 2025, Fatih Karagümrük lost to Goztepe with a score of 0-2.

How Many Goals in the Goztepe - Fatih Karagümrük Match

In terms of scoring, Goztepe averages 2.4 goals per game in their last five matches, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.8. Fatih Karagümrük has a higher average total of 2.8, but they score only 0.6 and concede 2.2. In 5 matches, Goztepe had over 2.5 goals twice, under 2.5 three times, while Fatih Karagümrük had over 2.5 goals three times, under twice. In terms of halves, both teams had only one instance of over 1.5 goals in the first half out of five, but in the second half, Goztepe had three out of five, Fatih Karagümrük four out of five over 1.5 goals. Goztepe most often scores between 61-75 minutes (38%), and concedes between 46-60 (40%). Fatih Karagümrük is similar: 61-75 minutes (33%) for goals, 46-60 (40%) for conceded. This profile indicates that Goztepe consistently converts their chances, while Fatih Karagümrük struggles in attack but often allows productive second halves. Goztepe has a high scoring rate and low conceding rate, while Fatih Karagümrük scores little and concedes a lot. Overall, this supports a bet on both teams not to score: odds for BTTS: No - 1.71. Considering Fatih Karagümrük's low scoring rate and Goztepe's solid defense, a bet on both teams not scoring seems logical.

Analysis of Total Corners

In terms of corners, Goztepe averages 4.8 per match over five games, Fatih Karagümrük - 2.4. In this five-match span, Goztepe had over 9.5 corners four times, Fatih Karagümrük only once. Among the total corners, the line closest to the sum of the average values (4.8 + 2.4 = 7.2) is 8.5, for which both options are available: total corners over 8.5 is priced at 1.51, under 8.5 at 2.29. In terms of corner outcomes, Goztepe is favored with odds of 1.30. Overall, considering the frequency of over 9.5 corners for Goztepe and low figures for Fatih Karagümrük, it makes sense to consider a bet on Goztepe's individual total corners over 4.5 or the overall total over 8.5, based on recent matches and average values.