Prediction for match Gremio — Deportivo Riestra

Match Preview

Gremio and Deportivo Riestra will face off on 14.04.2026 in the international Sudamericana tournament. The 1X2 odds are set at 1.49 for a Gremio win, 3.54 for a draw, and 8.35 for a Deportivo Riestra victory. The probability distribution for these outcomes is as follows: Gremio 62.53%, draw 26.32%, Deportivo Riestra 11.16%. This setup confirms Gremio's status as the favorite. For total goals, the closest to average options are: over 2.0 at 1.51 and over 2.25 at 1.76. Both teams to score: yes is at 2.18, no is at 1.61. These odds reflect cautious expectations for goals in the match and a low probability of success for Deportivo Riestra.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Gremio has an average possession of 53.8%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 10.4 fouls, and records 1.4 offsides per game. In the same period, Deportivo Riestra has 41.4% possession, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 14.6 fouls, and records 2.4 offsides. In their last three games, Gremio played as follows: 11.04.2026 Internacional - Gremio 0-0, 09.04.2026 Montevideo City Torque - Gremio 1-0, 05.04.2026 Gremio - Remo 0-0. Deportivo Riestra's last three matches were: 11.04.2026 Deportivo Riestra - Instituto Cordoba 0-1, 08.04.2026 Deportivo Riestra - Palestino 0-0, 03.04.2026 Union Santa Fe - Deportivo Riestra 2-0. Both teams have not been prolific in recent matches, with Deportivo Riestra failing to score in two of their last three games. Over five games, Gremio conceded an average of 1 goal and scored 0.4, while Deportivo Riestra conceded 1 and scored 0.2. Overall, the secondary statistics indicate low intensity and a high number of fouls from Deportivo Riestra.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Gremio - Deportivo Riestra Match

In a series of five matches, Gremio has an average total of 1.4 goals per game, and Deportivo Riestra has 1.2. For over 2.5 goals, Gremio has 2 out of 5, and Deportivo Riestra has 0 out of 5, confirming the low-scoring profile of both teams. For over 1.5 goals in the match, the odds are 1.30, and for over 2.0 goals, 1.51. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred for Gremio 1 out of 5 times, and for Deportivo Riestra, never. Similarly, in the second half, Gremio had 1 out of 5, and Deportivo Riestra had 0 out of 5. Gremio most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (40%), and Deportivo Riestra also in this interval (50%). Gremio is most vulnerable to conceding between the 31st and 45th minutes (67%), while Deportivo Riestra is vulnerable in two intervals: 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (50% each). All of this suggests both teams rarely have high-scoring matches, and Deportivo Riestra hardly scores. Both teams to score: no is at 1.61, which is supported by Deportivo Riestra's low scoring and Gremio's average conceding. The main prediction is both teams to score: no at 1.61.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Gremio averages 2.8 corners per game, while Deportivo Riestra averages 3.4. For over 9.5 corners, Gremio has 2 out of 5, and Deportivo Riestra has 1 out of 5. The line for corner totals includes options: over 6.5 at odds of 1.18, under 6.5 at 4.50; over 7.5 at 1.31, under 7.5 at 3.10; over 8.5 at 1.56, under 8.5 at 2.35; over 9.5 at 2.09, under 9.5 at 1.74. The closest to the average total corners (6.2) is 6.5, where over is at 1.18 and under is at 4.50. Based on the average activity of both teams, a bet on under 8.5 corners seems logical, as neither team stands out for a high frequency of corner kicks. There is no clear favorite for corners, as the stats are close.