Prediction for match Vasco da Gama — Audax Italiano

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match

Vasco da Gama and Audax Italiano will face off on 15.04.2026 in the Sudamericana tournament. According to the 1X2 odds, a victory for Vasco da Gama is priced at 1.39, a draw at 4.70, and a win for Audax Italiano at 7.12. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 67.07% for a Vasco da Gama win, 19.84% for a draw, and 13.09% for an Audax Italiano win. Vasco da Gama appears to be the favorite according to the odds, but the lines for totals and additional markets also draw attention. For the over 2.5 goals line, the odds are 1.52, while the under 2.5 goals line is at 2.24, indicating bookmakers expect a high-scoring game but with some caution.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Vasco da Gama has an average possession of 52.4%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 8.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Audax Italiano has slightly less possession at 49.8%, with 3 yellow cards, 8.2 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per match. In their last three matches, Vasco da Gama played as follows: 11.04.2026 Remo - Vasco da Gama 1-1, 07.04.2026 Barracas Central - Vasco da Gama 0-0, 05.04.2026 Vasco da Gama - Botafogo 1-2. Audax Italiano's last three matches were: 11.04.2026 Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica 3-4, 09.04.2026 Audax Italiano - Olimpia 0-2, 03.04.2026 O'Higgins - Audax Italiano 2-1. There have been no recent head-to-head meetings between these teams.

Totals Statistics

In terms of goals, Vasco da Gama has seen over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches and under 2.5 goals in 3 matches. Audax Italiano has had 3 out of 5 matches end with over 2.5 goals and 2 with fewer. On average, Vasco da Gama's matches feature 2 goals, with the team scoring 1 and conceding 1 per game. Audax Italiano's matches are more high-scoring, averaging 3.2 goals, with 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded. By halves, Vasco da Gama had only 1 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half, and 2 out of 5 in the second half were high-scoring. Audax Italiano had 4 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half and only 1 out of 5 in the second. As for goal intervals, Vasco da Gama most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (40%), while Audax Italiano scores most often in the first 15 minutes (50%). Vasco da Gama concedes evenly across all intervals, with 20% in each of the five segments between the 16th and 90th minute. Audax Italiano most frequently concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (38%). Given these statistics, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.52 seems logical: both teams have arguments for a high-scoring game, with Audax Italiano particularly standing out in recent matches.

Corner Totals Analysis

Vasco da Gama averages 3.6 corners per match, while Audax Italiano averages 4.6. In the last five matches, Vasco da Gama had the total corners exceed 9.5 only once, whereas Audax Italiano did so in 2 out of 5 matches. The corner total line closest to the average sum (8.2) is 9.5, but there are no odds available for this total, so we'll only consider the statistics. Overall, neither team shows a high frequency of exceeding large corner totals, which may be due to their attacking styles. It makes sense to consider moderate corner totals for betting, as both teams rarely surpass 10 corners per match. Additionally, Audax Italiano's higher average might be interesting for individual corner total bets.