Prediction for match Groningen — Utrecht

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In the Eredivisie on February 14, Groningen faces Utrecht. The main odds for the outcomes are as follows: Groningen's victory is priced at 2.07, a draw is at 3.44, and Utrecht's success is at 3.74. Looking at the probabilities, the chances are distributed as follows: Groningen 46.40%, draw 27.92%, Utrecht 25.68%. Based on these figures, Groningen is considered the favorite, but the gap is not significant, and the odds for total goals are also quite tight. Among the markets with odds above 1.50, the under 2.5 total at 1.83 stands out, which aligns with the teams' scoring profiles in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

In a five-match series, Groningen has an average possession of 50%, with 2.4 yellow cards per game, 11.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Over the same period, Utrecht shows 43.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 1 offside on average. In the last three matches, Groningen lost to PSV 1-2, Sparta Rotterdam 0-2, and Fortuna Sittard 1-2. Utrecht in their last three encounters beat NEC Nijmegen 3-1, lost to Feyenoord 0-1, and drew with Heerenveen 1-1. In head-to-head meetings, note the last game on September 14, 2025, where Utrecht lost to Groningen 0-1.

Goals by Match Statistics

In the last five matches, Groningen has an average total of 2 goals, while Utrecht has 2.8. Groningen scores 0.8 goals per game and concedes 1.2, while Utrecht's figures are 1.2 and 1.6 respectively. For over 2.5 totals: both teams had 2 out of 5 games end over, and 3 out of 5 under. In the first half, Groningen had only 1 out of 5 matches over 1.5, Utrecht had 2 out of 5. In the second half, Groningen played 3 out of 5 over 1.5, Utrecht 2 out of 5. For goal intervals: Groningen most often scores in four different segments at 25% each, and concedes most often at the end (76-90 min, 33%). Utrecht most often scores in the first 30 minutes (33% in two intervals), and concedes mainly at the very beginning (0-15 min, 38%). Overall, this data suggests the match is inclined towards low scoring, especially considering Groningen's average goals scored is less than one per game, and over 2.5 totals do not prevail. The optimal choice seems to be a bet on under 2.5 total at 1.83.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Groningen averages 7.4 corners per game, Utrecht 4.6. For over 9.5 corner totals: Groningen had 2 out of 5 matches end over, Utrecht 3 out of 5. For the corner total line of 9.5, both options are presented: over 9.5 is at 1.67, under 9.5 at 2.05. For the corner outcome, Groningen is the favorite with odds of 1.48. Based on the average sum of corners (12), a bet on over 9.5 seems logical, but Groningen has matches with low figures, adding variability. Overall, corner activity can be expected, but a moderate number of corner kicks is also possible.