Prediction for match Guadalajara — Tijuana

Match Analysis: Guadalajara vs Tijuana

In Liga MX on April 26, Guadalajara will face Tijuana. According to the odds, Guadalajara is favored to win at 1.40, a draw is priced at 5.00, and a Tijuana victory is at 6.27. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Guadalajara - 66.52%, Draw - 18.63%, Tijuana - 14.85%. For the total goals, the line over 2.5 is set at 1.46, and the "both teams to score - yes" option is offered at 1.73. The under 3.5 goals is at 1.58, while over 2.75 goals is at 1.59. These odds suggest Guadalajara is the favorite, and bookmakers expect a high-scoring match.

Team Results and Statistics

Guadalajara, in their last five matches, showed 59.4% possession, averaged 1.8 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 2 offsides. Their recent form includes: April 23, 2026 - Necaxa 0-0 Guadalajara, April 19, 2026 - Guadalajara 5-0 Puebla, April 11, 2026 - Tigres UANL 4-1 Guadalajara. Tijuana, over five games, held 47.8% possession, received 2.4 yellow cards, committed 11.4 fouls, and had 2.8 offsides. Their last three matches: April 23, 2026 - Tijuana 3-1 Pachuca, April 18, 2026 - Cruz Azul 1-1 Tijuana, April 11, 2026 - Juárez 1-2 Tijuana. In their head-to-head on August 23, 2025, Tijuana and Guadalajara played to a 3-3 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Guadalajara has an average total of 3.8 goals per game, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.6. Tijuana averages 2.6 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. For over 2.5 goals: Guadalajara has hit this in 4 out of 5, Tijuana in 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 3 times for Guadalajara and 2 times for Tijuana. In the second half, Guadalajara went over 1.5 in 4 out of 5, Tijuana in 3 out of 5. Goal intervals: Guadalajara scores most often between 76-90 minutes (50%) and concedes between 16-30 minutes (50%). Tijuana scores most often between 31-45 minutes (40%) and concedes evenly across four intervals at 25% each. This suggests a high probability of a high-scoring game where both teams are likely to score, with a total close to three or more goals.

Corners: Numbers and Betting Options

Guadalajara averages 5.2 corners per game over five matches, Tijuana 3.6. For over 9.5 corners, only 1 out of 5 matches for both teams went over, the rest under. The line for corners is set at 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.87, under 9.5 also at 1.87. Guadalajara is favored in corners with odds of 1.23. The average total corners in a match is around 8.8, suggesting a bet on under 9.5 corners is logical, considering the frequency of unders in recent matches for both teams.