Prediction for match Guadalajara — Leon

Match Analysis: Guadalajara vs. Leon

In Liga MX on March 19, Guadalajara will face Leon. According to the 1X2 odds, Guadalajara is the clear favorite: a win for them is priced at 1.41, a draw at 4.75, and a victory for Leon at 6.48. The probability percentages are as follows: Guadalajara - 66.03%, Draw - 19.60%, Leon - 14.37%. The over 2.5 goals bet is highlighted with odds of 1.60, making it an attractive option for analysis. Both teams to score (BTTS): Yes is at 1.83, while BTTS: No is at 1.87, indicating close chances for both teams to find the net. There are also options for individual team totals and half-time totals, but the overall over 2.5 goals seems the most interesting.

Teams' Results and Statistics

Guadalajara has achieved two wins in their last three matches: March 14, 2026 - Guadalajara vs. Santos Laguna - 3-0, March 8, 2026 - Atlas vs. Guadalajara - 1-2, February 28, 2026 - Toluca vs. Guadalajara - 2-0. Meanwhile, Leon's recent results are: March 15, 2026 - Leon vs. Tijuana - 0-3, March 7, 2026 - Mazatlan vs. Leon - 4-2, March 1, 2026 - Leon vs. Necaxa - 2-1. In their last 5 games, Guadalajara had 58.4% possession, committed 13.8 fouls, received 3.4 yellow cards, and recorded 2 offsides per match. Leon had 55.8% possession, 13.4 fouls, 2 yellow cards, and 1.2 offsides per match. In their last head-to-head encounter on July 20, 2025, Leon defeated Guadalajara 1-0. These stats reflect the discipline and playing style of both teams, important factors when considering bets on additional markets.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over their last five matches, Guadalajara has an average total of 2.4 goals per game, while Leon has 3.2. Guadalajara scores 1.4 and concedes 1 goal per game, Leon scores 1.2 and concedes 2. Guadalajara has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, Leon in 4 out of 5, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for Guadalajara and three times for Leon. In the second half, both teams had 2 instances of over 1.5 goals. In terms of goal intervals, Guadalajara frequently scores between 0-15 and 31-45 minutes (33% each), while Leon scores most often between 16-30 minutes (33%). Guadalajara concedes most often in the final minutes (76-90 minutes - 50%), Leon in the end of the first half (31-45 minutes - 57%). These figures confirm that both teams tend to score, especially in the second half. Considering the average scoring and frequent over 2.5 goals, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Over the last 5 matches, Guadalajara has averaged 4.4 corners, Leon 5. This totals 9.4, close to the 9.5 line. In the last 5 games, Guadalajara hasn't exceeded the over 9.5 corners total, while Leon has done so 3 times out of 5. The line for corners total offers no odds for over 9.5 and under 9.5. No clear winner emerges for corners, but Leon slightly edges in average activity. In such a scenario, a bet on Leon's individual corners total over 4.5 could be logical if suitable odds appear. Also, consider a bet on the overall corners total around 9-10, given both teams' averages and Leon's frequent overs.