Prediction for match Guadalajara — Puebla

Match Analysis: Guadalajara vs Puebla

On April 19, 2026, Guadalajara will face Puebla in Liga MX. The odds for a Guadalajara win are 1.34, a draw is 5.25, and a Puebla victory is 7.31. The probability distribution shows a 69.51% chance of a Guadalajara win, 17.74% for a draw, and 12.74% for a Puebla win. Guadalajara is the clear favorite across all key metrics, and bookmakers are leaning heavily towards them in the upcoming match.

Team Results and Statistics

Guadalajara has been in strong form in their last five matches: a 1-4 win against Tigres UANL, a 2-2 draw with UNAM Pumas, a 3-2 victory over Monterrey, a 5-0 win against León, and a 3-0 success over Santos Laguna. Puebla, on the other hand, has had a tougher run with a 0-1 loss to León, a 1-1 draw with Juárez, a 1-2 defeat to Santos Laguna, a 0-0 draw with Necaxa, and a 1-2 loss to Pachuca. In terms of average ball possession, Guadalajara has 60.8% compared to Puebla's 54.2%. Guadalajara averages 2.2 yellow cards per match, while Puebla has 2.8. The teams commit 12 and 13.4 fouls per game, respectively, with offside counts at 1 for Guadalajara and 0.2 for Puebla. In their last head-to-head on September 27, 2025, Puebla lost 0-2 to Guadalajara.

How Many Goals in the Guadalajara vs Puebla Match

Guadalajara has shown a high scoring ability, with an average total of 4.4 goals per match over their last five games, scoring an average of 2.8 goals and conceding 1.6. Puebla, however, is less prolific, with an average of 1.8 goals per game, scoring only 0.6 and conceding 1.2. Guadalajara has seen over 2.5 goals in 5 out of 5 matches, while Puebla has had 2 out of 5. In the first half, Guadalajara has gone over 1.5 in 3 out of 5 matches, and Puebla in 0 out of 5. In the second half, Guadalajara has over 1.5 in 4 out of 5, and Puebla in 3 out of 5. Guadalajara scores most frequently between the 76th and 90th minutes (47%), while Puebla scores between the 46th and 60th and 61st and 75th minutes (40% each). Guadalajara concedes most often between the 16th and 30th minutes (50%), while Puebla concedes late in the game (61st to 75th and 76th to 90th minutes, 50% each). Given Guadalajara's high scoring rate, consistent over 2.5 goal results, and Puebla's weak attack, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Both teams average 5.8 corners per match over their last five games. Guadalajara has seen over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches, while Puebla has seen it in 4 out of 5. The line for total corners is set at 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.68, and under 9.5 at 2.05. Guadalajara is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.20. Considering both teams' average activity and Puebla's frequent over totals, betting on over 9.5 corners is a logical additional option.