Prediction for match Guadalajara — UNAM Pumas

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Liga MX on April 6th, Guadalajara will face UNAM Pumas. The 1X2 odds are as follows: a win for Guadalajara is at 1.50, a draw is at 4.30, and a win for UNAM Pumas is at 5.74. The probabilities for the outcomes are distributed as follows: Guadalajara - 62.11%, draw - 21.66%, UNAM Pumas - 16.23%. Guadalajara is considered the favorite for the match, as confirmed by both the odds and probability percentages. Bookmakers consider a victory for Guadalajara to be the most likely outcome, while UNAM Pumas' chances are rated significantly lower. This reflects the current status of the teams in the season and their recent performances.

Team Results and Statistics

Guadalajara has shown strong results in the last three matches: on March 22, they defeated Monterrey 3-2, on March 19, they crushed Leon 5-0, and on March 14, they overcame Santos Laguna 3-0. During the same period, UNAM Pumas played Club America on March 22 and won 1-0, drew 2-2 with Cruz Azul on March 15, and beat Necaxa 1-0 on March 7. In a five-match series, Guadalajara has an average possession of 58.4%, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 12.8 fouls, and records 1.8 offsides per game. UNAM Pumas, over the same period, has an average possession of 50.4%, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 12 fouls, and records 1.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head meeting on October 6, 2025, UNAM Pumas lost to Guadalajara 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Guadalajara averages a total of 3.6 goals, scoring 2.6 and conceding 1 goal per game. UNAM Pumas has an average total of 2.6, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. Regarding over 2.5 goals: 4 out of 5 matches for Guadalajara ended with more than 2.5 goals, while for UNAM Pumas, it's 2 out of 5. By halves, Guadalajara has 2 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second. UNAM Pumas often plays more productively in the first half (3 out of 5 over 1.5), and in the second half - 2 out of 5 over 1.5. By goal intervals: Guadalajara most frequently scores in the 76-90 minute range (43%), while conceding between 46-60 minutes (50%). UNAM Pumas scores more often in the 61-75 and 76-90 minute ranges (33% each), while conceding between 31-45 minutes (57%). This trend and Guadalajara's high scoring in recent matches make the over 2.5 goals at 1.64 a justified betting choice.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Guadalajara averages 6.2 corners per game, while UNAM Pumas averages 4. Regarding over 9.5 corners: Guadalajara has 2 out of 5 matches ending with more, and UNAM Pumas has 3 out of 5. Among the corner lines, the total closest to the average sum (10.2) is 9.5: over 9.5 is offered at 1.87, and under is also at 1.87. For corners outcome, Guadalajara is the favorite with odds of 1.32. Considering the activity of both teams in corner kicks, it makes sense to consider over 9.5 corners as a viable betting option for this match. It's also worth noting that Guadalajara consistently delivers more than 6 corners per game, which could be interesting for additional betting options.