Prediction for match Guingamp — Troyes

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the French Ligue 2, a match between Guingamp and Troyes will take place on January 24, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, a victory for Guingamp is priced at 2.72, a draw at 2.91, and a win for Troyes at 2.77. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Guingamp - 34.29%, draw - 32.05%, Troyes - 33.67%. The odds do not highlight a clear favorite, with both teams having similar chances of winning, and the likelihood of a draw is also high. For total goals, Over 2.5 is priced at 2.05, Under 2.5 at 1.74, both teams to score: Yes at 1.74, No at 1.98, reflecting expectations of moderate scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

Guingamp's last three matches resulted in: January 19, 2026 - Nancy 0-3 Guingamp, January 3, 2026 - Guingamp 3-0 Boulogne, December 19, 2025 - Guingamp 0-1 Laval. In the same period, Troyes played: January 17, 2026 - Troyes 2-1 Reims, January 10, 2026 - Bastia 0-2 Troyes, January 3, 2026 - Troyes 1-0 Red Star. In their last head-to-head on September 20, 2025, Troyes defeated Guingamp 5-2. Over the last five matches, Guingamp averages 59.6% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 8.4 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Troyes maintains 48.4% possession, receives 1.4 yellows, commits 15 fouls, and also registers 2.4 offsides. In these aspects, Guingamp appears more disciplined, while Troyes plays more aggressively.

Goals by Match Statistics

In the last five matches, Guingamp had 4 out of 5 games go over 2.5 goals, while Troyes had 3 out of 5. The average number of goals in matches for both teams is 2.6, with Guingamp scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2, and Troyes scoring 2 and conceding 0.6. By halves, Guingamp had 2 out of 5 games over 1.5 goals in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second half, while Troyes had 2 out of 5 in both halves. By intervals: Guingamp most frequently scores between 16-30 minutes (40%), while Troyes scores in two intervals: 0-15 and 31-45 minutes (33% each). Both teams' defenses are most vulnerable at the end: Guingamp concedes 44% of goals between 76-90 minutes, and Troyes 63%. Considering both teams have an over-profile on totals and high average goal figures, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.05 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over the last five matches, Guingamp averages 7.4 corners, while Troyes averages 4.2. Both teams had 3 out of 5 matches go over 9.5 corners. The odds for corner totals are: over 9.5 at 2.01, under 9.5 at 1.70. The over 9.5 option seems logical, considering Guingamp's high activity in corner kicks. For the corner outcome, Guingamp is favored with odds of 1.82. Overall, an active play on the wings and a high number of set pieces, especially from Guingamp, can be expected.