Prediction for match Hamburger — Bayer Leverkusen, 04.03.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Bundesliga clash between Hamburger and Bayer Leverkusen is scheduled for January 13, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Bayer Leverkusen's win is priced at 2.14, Hamburger's at 3.50, and a draw at 3.80. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Bayer Leverkusen - 45.99%, Hamburger - 28.12%, draw - 25.90%. Bayer Leverkusen stands out as the favorite, as confirmed by both the odds and probabilities. However, the gap between the teams in terms of probability is not huge, leaving room for competition and unexpected turns.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Hamburger has shown an average ball possession of 46.4%, received 2.4 yellow cards, committed 10.2 fouls, and recorded 1.2 offsides per game. Bayer Leverkusen appears more confident in these aspects: possession 58.6%, 2.6 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last three matches, Hamburger played as follows: January 10 - Freiburg 2-1 Hamburger, December 20 - Hamburger 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt, December 13 - Hoffenheim 4-1 Hamburger. Bayer Leverkusen's last three matches were: January 10 - Bayer Leverkusen 1-4 Stuttgart, December 20 - RB Leipzig 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen, December 13 - Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Köln. In their last head-to-head encounter on February 17, 2018, Hamburger lost to Bayer Leverkusen 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, both teams have an average of 3.4 goals per match, with Hamburger scoring 1.4 and Bayer Leverkusen 1.6. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches and under 2.5 in 2 matches. In the first half, Hamburger has 2 out of 5 matches over 1.5 goals, while Bayer Leverkusen has 3 out of 5. In the second half, Hamburger has 3 out of 5 matches over 1.5 goals, Bayer Leverkusen has 2 out of 5. Hamburger most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minute (40%), while Bayer Leverkusen scores in the same interval (38%). Hamburger most often concedes between the 76th and 90th minute (50%), Bayer Leverkusen between the 31st and 45th minute (44%). The overall goal statistics and the frequency of totals suggest that both teams are inclined toward high-scoring matches. Against this background, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.70 seems logical, given the stable average values and supporting frequencies on both sides.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On average, Hamburger delivers 4 corners per match, Bayer Leverkusen 7.4, totaling 11.4 per game. In the last 5 matches, Hamburger has 2 out of 5 matches with total corners over 9.5, Bayer Leverkusen has 4 out of 5. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is priced at 1.70, under 9.5 at 2.03. Bayer Leverkusen is favored in the corners market with odds of 1.71. Considering the high average for corners and frequent overs of 9.5 by Bayer Leverkusen, a bet on the over total corners seems justified. Individual corner stats for Bayer Leverkusen can also be considered, given their consistent activity in this component.