Prediction for match Hamburger — Union Berlin, 14.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On February 14, as part of the Bundesliga, Hamburger will face Union Berlin. Bookmakers offer odds of 2.63 for a Hamburger win, 3.00 for a Union Berlin victory, and 3.30 for a draw. In terms of probability percentages, Hamburger has 37.40%, Union Berlin 32.79%, and a draw 29.81%. There is no clear dominance by either side in this matchup, but Hamburger is highlighted as the most likely winner according to the odds.

Review of Recent Matches

Hamburger has picked up momentum in their last five matches: a 2-0 win over Heidenheim, a 2-2 draw with Bayern, two goalless games against St. Pauli and Borussia M, and a 1-2 loss to Freiburg. Over the same period, Union Berlin drew 1-1 with Eintracht Frankfurt, lost 1-3 to Hoffenheim and 0-3 to Borussia Dortmund, and had two 1-1 draws with Stuttgart and Augsburg. Their last head-to-head meeting ended in a goalless draw on September 28, 2025.

Teams' Scoring Streaks

In terms of scoring, Hamburger averages 1.8 goals per game in their last five matches, scoring 1 and conceding 0.8 on average. Union Berlin has a higher average of 2.6 goals per game but scores only 0.8 and concedes 1.8 on average. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 games. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred in only one match out of five for each team, while in the second half, Hamburger had 2 out of 5, and Union Berlin had 4 out of 5. Hamburger most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%), while Union Berlin scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%). As for goals conceded, Hamburger frequently concedes between the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (40% each), and Union Berlin between the 76th-90th minutes (57%). These stats indicate that both teams tend to be more active in the second half, but the overall scoring level isn't very high. The most logical bet seems to be under 2.5 goals at 1.81, considering the average goal stats and frequency of over/under outcomes.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over the last five matches, Hamburger averages 4 corners, and Union Berlin 6.6. Both teams have seen over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches. The line closest to the average total (10.6) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is offered at 1.81, and under 9.5 at 1.93. For corners, Hamburger is the favorite with odds of 2.05. Given both teams' corner statistics, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, as both teams regularly deliver a sufficient number of corners, and the averages are close to this mark.