Prediction for match Heerenveen — Groningen, 18.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Eredivisie on January 18, Heerenveen will face Groningen. According to the 1X2 odds, Heerenveen is the favorite with odds of 2.27 and a 42.31% chance of winning. Groningen is priced at 3.32 (28.93%), while a draw is at 3.34 with a probability of 28.76%. The market also highlights the both teams to score option: 'yes' at 1.53 and 'no' at 2.34, with the over 2.5 goals at 1.72. The under 2.5 goals option is available at 2.17. Recent match statistics for Heerenveen show a strong attacking profile, which is reflected in the odds for high-scoring results.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Heerenveen has an average possession of 54.6%, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 13.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times per game. Groningen holds 56.2% possession, receives 0.8 yellow cards, commits 8.2 fouls, and has 1.8 offsides. Heerenveen's last three matches: 15.01.2026 - Heerenveen vs RKC Waalwijk - 3-1, 11.01.2026 - Heerenveen vs Feyenoord - 2-2, 20.12.2025 - Heracles vs Heerenveen - 0-3. Groningen's last three matches: 10.01.2026 - Groningen vs NAC Breda - 0-0, 21.12.2025 - Go Ahead Eagles vs Groningen - 1-1, 13.12.2025 - Groningen vs Volendam - 3-0. Their last head-to-head was on 16.08.2025, where Groningen beat Heerenveen 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their five-match series, Heerenveen consistently shows high scoring, averaging 3.8 goals per game, scoring 2.8 and conceding 1 goal per match. Groningen has more modest figures - 1.8 goals per game on average, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.6. Heerenveen has seen over 2.5 goals in 5 out of 5 games, while Groningen only in 1 out of 5. In terms of halves, Heerenveen's matches had over 1.5 goals in the second half in 4 out of 5 games, but only 1 out of 5 in the first half. Groningen had over 1.5 goals in the second half in 2 out of 5 games, and none in the first half. Heerenveen often scores between the 76th-90th minute (43%) and concedes in the same interval (33%). Groningen most frequently scores between the 31st-45th minute (33%) and concedes between the 61st-75th minute (67%). This profile indicates a clear attacking advantage for Heerenveen and a high probability of a high-scoring match. While Groningen's defense appears solid, the attacking difference between the teams is significant. The most logical bet seems to be on over 2.5 goals at 1.72, considering Heerenveen's consistent high-scoring games and strong second-half goal stats.

Corner Totals Analysis

Heerenveen averages 6.8 corners per match, while Groningen averages 7.8, totaling 14.6. In their five-match series, Heerenveen had over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 games, and Groningen in 2 out of 5. The line closest to the average total is 9.5: over 9.5 corners at 1.76, under 9.5 at 1.93. Heerenveen is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.59. Given these figures, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical, considering both teams' high corner activity and frequent over hits in recent matches.