Prediction for match Hertha — Schalke 04

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the 2. Bundesliga clash between Hertha and Schalke 04 on January 17, 2026, the odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Hertha's victory is priced at 2.52, Schalke 04's win at 2.79, and a draw at 3.15. The probabilities derived from these odds are: Hertha 36.99%, draw 29.59%, Schalke 04 33.41%. This distribution suggests a closely contested match with no clear favorite, making it an intriguing game for betting analysis.

Recent Matches Review

In their last three matches, Hertha recorded a 1-1 draw against Arminia Bielefeld on December 19, 2025, a 3-3 draw with Greuther Fürth on December 12, and a 0-2 loss to Magdeburg on December 7. During the same period, Schalke 04 lost 1-2 to Eintracht Braunschweig on December 21, defeated Nürnberg 1-0 on December 14, and won 2-0 against Fortuna Düsseldorf on December 5. On average, Hertha holds 49.2% possession, earns 2.6 yellow cards, commits 13 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times per game over a five-match span. Schalke 04 averages 44.4% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Their last head-to-head encounter on August 1, 2025, saw Schalke 04 triumph over Hertha 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Hertha stands out in terms of scoring, averaging a total of 3.6 goals per game over their last five matches, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.4 on average. Schalke 04's numbers are more modest, with 1.8 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.6. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, indicating a balance between over and under. Hertha has 2 out of 5 first halves with over 1.5 goals, while Schalke 04 has 1. In the second half, Hertha shows 4 out of 5 over 1.5, while Schalke 04 has only 1. Hertha frequently scores in the intervals of 31-45, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (20% each) and concedes mostly in the 31-45 and 61-75 intervals (38% each). Schalke 04 scores primarily in the second half: 46-60 and 76-90 (40% each). Schalke 04 concedes mostly in the 31-45 and 76-90 intervals (50% each). Given Hertha's high scoring rate, frequent second-half goals, and balance on total goals, betting on over 2.25 goals at 1.74 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On average, Hertha earns 4 corners per match, and Schalke 04 - 3.4. Over the last five matches, Hertha covered the over 9.5 corners line twice, and Schalke 04 once. The line closest to their average total (7.4) is 7.5: odds for over 7.5 corners are 1.22, and under 7.5 is 3.50. The 9.5 line stands out as well: over 9.5 is at 1.78, under 9.5 at 1.90. Hertha is the favorite for corners with odds of 2.01. Both teams do not consistently show high total corners, so a moderate total corners bet seems justified. Hertha generally delivers more, but the difference with Schalke 04 is minor.