Prediction for match HNK Gorica — Lokomotiva Zagreb

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the HNL tournament on 17.04.2026, HNK Gorica will face Lokomotiva Zagreb. The 1X2 odds are as follows: a win for HNK Gorica is priced at 2.21, a draw at 3.34, and a win for Lokomotiva Zagreb at 3.12. Based on these odds, the probabilities are distributed as follows: HNK Gorica - 42.19%, draw - 27.92%, Lokomotiva Zagreb - 29.89%. Thus, HNK Gorica is considered the favorite, but the gap between the teams is not too large, indicating a potentially tense match according to the bookmakers. Additionally, the double chance X2 is offered at 1.61, which could be an interesting option for hedging a bet on Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Team Results and Statistics

Let's look at the recent form of the teams. In their last five matches, HNK Gorica played as follows: 12.04.2026 Hajduk Split - HNK Gorica 1-0, 03.04.2026 Varazdin - HNK Gorica 1-1, 22.03.2026 HNK Gorica - Rijeka 4-0. For the same period, Lokomotiva Zagreb's results were: 11.04.2026 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961 2-0, 07.04.2026 Vukovar - Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1, 21.03.2026 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb 0-5. On average over 5 matches: HNK Gorica has 43.2% possession, commits 12.4 fouls, 2.4 offsides, and receives 2 yellow cards per game. Lokomotiva Zagreb averages 46% possession, 12 fouls, 2.6 offsides, and 2.2 yellow cards. In their last head-to-head on 06.02.2026, Lokomotiva Zagreb beat HNK Gorica 3-0.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Match HNK Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb

Both teams show moderate scoring figures. HNK Gorica has an average total of 2.2 goals over 5 matches, while Lokomotiva Zagreb has 2.8. HNK Gorica scores an average of 1.4 goals and concedes 0.8, while Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1 and concedes 1.8. For over 2.5 goals: both teams had 2 out of 5 matches with three or more goals, 3 out of 5 under. By halves: HNK Gorica had only 1 out of 5 matches with two or more goals in the first half, while Lokomotiva Zagreb had 3 out of 5. In the second half, both teams had 2 out of 5 over 1.5. Goal intervals: HNK Gorica scores most often in the first 15 minutes (33%), while Lokomotiva Zagreb scores from 16 to 30 minutes (50%). Conceding: HNK Gorica is most vulnerable in three consecutive intervals (31-75 minutes at 33%), Lokomotiva Zagreb from 61 to 75 minutes (50%). Given that both teams have a similar balance of over 2.5 goals, and average goal figures don't stand out towards a clear over-profile, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.76 seems logical. This is confirmed by the fact that both teams have more often recorded low-scoring results in their last five-match series, and their average goals scored and conceded remain within moderate values.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

For corners, HNK Gorica averages 2.6 per match, and Lokomotiva Zagreb averages 6. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: HNK Gorica had only 1 out of 5 matches over, while Lokomotiva Zagreb had 3 out of 5. Looking at the odds, over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.81, under 8.5 at 1.93. This value is close to the sum of the average corners of both teams (8.6). Overall, Lokomotiva Zagreb is significantly more active in corner kicks, which could influence the dynamics of this metric. Betting on over 8.5 corners seems reasonable, considering Lokomotiva Zagreb's statistics and the overall balance in recent matches.