Prediction for match Hajduk Split — Vukovar

Match Preview

The match between Hajduk Split and Vukovar in the Croatian League (HNL) is set to take place on 22.05.2026. According to bookmakers, Hajduk Split is the clear favorite: odds for their victory are 1.18, a draw is priced at 6.65, and a win for Vukovar is at 13.50. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 79.06% for a Hajduk Split win, 14.03% for a draw, and 6.91% for a Vukovar win. This reflects the difference in class between the teams and the recent head-to-head statistics, where Hajduk Split consistently earns points against Vukovar.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Hajduk Split has averaged 51.6% possession, picking up 2.2 yellow cards, committing 10.6 fouls, and being caught offside 2 times per game. Vukovar, over the same period, has averaged 43.2% possession, received 3.2 yellow cards, committed 12.8 fouls, and recorded 0.8 offsides. Recent matches for Hajduk Split: 16.05.2026 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Hajduk Split 1-1, 09.05.2026 Dinamo Zagreb - Hajduk Split 2-0, 03.05.2026 Hajduk Split - Varaždin 3-1. Vukovar's recent games: 15.05.2026 Vukovar - Varaždin 0-2, 08.05.2026 Rijeka - Vukovar 3-0, 02.05.2026 Vukovar - Osijek 1-0. In their last head-to-head on 21.03.2026, Vukovar lost to Hajduk Split 0-6.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Hajduk Split's total over 2.5 goals occurred once, and under 2.5 goals happened four times. Vukovar, on the other hand, had three out of five matches go over 2.5 goals and two under. Both teams have an average of 0.8 goals scored per game over the last five games, with Hajduk Split conceding 1 and Vukovar 1.8. The average total goals per match: Hajduk Split 1.8, Vukovar 2.6. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times for both teams, while in the second half, it happened once for Hajduk Split and twice for Vukovar. Hajduk Split scores most frequently between 16-30 minutes (43%), while Vukovar scores between 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (43% each). Hajduk Split concedes most often between 46-60 minutes (50%), and Vukovar in the last 15 minutes (33%). Both teams are not highly productive in attack, and Hajduk Split is quite reliable in defense, especially compared to their opponent. Considering the low average goals scored and conceded, as well as frequent unders of 2.5 for Hajduk Split, betting on under 3.0 goals with odds of 2.06 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Hajduk Split earns 2.6 corners per match, while Vukovar earns 3.6. In the last 5 games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred twice for both teams. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the average sum (6.2) is 9.5, with over 9.5 priced at 2.23 and under 9.5 at 1.60. In recent matches, both teams have not shown high activity in this aspect, so betting on under 9.5 corners seems justified. Additionally, Hajduk Split and Vukovar are not prone to a large number of set-pieces, as confirmed by their average match numbers.