Prediction for match Osijek — Slaven Belupo

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the HNL clash between Osijek and Slaven Belupo on 22.05.2026, bookmakers have Osijek as the favorites: their victory is priced at 2.06, a draw at 3.44, and a win for Slaven Belupo at 3.37. Looking at the probabilities, the chances are distributed as follows: Osijek - 45.25%, draw - 27.10%, Slaven Belupo - 27.66%. These numbers highlight Osijek's advantage, but the gap isn't too large, adding intrigue to the match. The betting options for the main outcomes are quite balanced, and the odds on totals also look interesting: for instance, over 2.5 goals is at 1.75, and both teams to score is at 1.61.

Team Results and Statistics

Osijek lost their last three matches against HNK Gorica (0-2, 16.05.2026), Istra 1961 (0-1, 10.05.2026), and Vukovar (0-1, 02.05.2026). Slaven Belupo, in their last three encounters, lost to Dinamo Zagreb (1-4, 17.05.2026), beat HNK Gorica (1-0, 10.05.2026), and lost to Istra 1961 (1-3, 04.05.2026). On average, over the last five games, Osijek had 52% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 15.8 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per match. Slaven Belupo showed 48.4% possession, 1.4 yellows, 11.2 fouls, and 3.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 22.03.2026, the teams drew 0-0. Overall, Slaven Belupo concedes more offsides, while Osijek commits more fouls and receives more cautions. In a five-match series, Osijek averages 2.2 yellow cards, while Slaven Belupo averages 1.4. The possession difference is minimal, but Osijek is slightly more active.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Osijek never exceeded the over 2.5 goals total - all 5 games ended under. Slaven Belupo, on the other hand, saw 4 out of 5 matches go over 2.5. For first-half goals, only 1 of Osijek's 5 matches was over 1.5, compared to 3 out of 5 for Slaven Belupo. In the second half, Osijek again had 1 out of 5 over 1.5, while Slaven Belupo had 2 out of 5. Osijek's average goals scored over 5 matches is 0.2, conceded is 0.8, with a total match goal average of 1. Slaven Belupo's averages are higher: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded, total average - 3.4. In terms of intervals, Osijek most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (50%) and concedes between 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (50% each). Slaven Belupo scores most often between 16-45 and 61-75 minutes (22% each), and concedes towards the end (76-90 minutes, 38%). Considering Osijek's low scoring and under-profile on totals, and the fact that Slaven Belupo, despite being more prolific, faces a team that consistently keeps matches tight, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 2.02 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Osijek averages 5 corners per match, Slaven Belupo - 4.2. In their last five matches, Osijek's total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times, while Slaven Belupo's did once. The odds for total corners over 9.5 are at 2.03, under 9.5 at 1.73. Based on the average sum of corners for both teams (9.2), the line on total corners 9.5 is close to realistic distribution. Statistically, Osijek more frequently hits the over on corners, while Slaven Belupo's numbers are lower. A bet on total corners over 9.5 might be interesting, considering Osijek's frequent occurrences. Additionally, Osijek appears slightly more active in corners, with matches often seeing double-digit corner counts.