Prediction for match HNK Rijeka — HNK Gorica, 21.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the clash between HNK Rijeka and HNK Gorica, taking place on December 21, 2025, analysts have marked Rijeka as the favorite: their victory is valued at odds of 1.65. A draw is priced at 3.60, while a win for HNK Gorica stands at 5.30. The probability distribution also favors Rijeka: 56.51% for a win, 25.90% for a draw, and 17.59% for a win by HNK Gorica. This setup reflects the difference in current form and effectiveness, yet the odds on totals and other markets provide a deeper insight into the potential match development. It is crucial to consider that both teams have their strengths and weaknesses that could influence the final result.

Team Results and Statistics

Rijeka has shown stable performance in their last five matches with ball possession at 50.6%, an average of 2.2 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. HNK Gorica has lower possession at 44.6%, with 2 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. In their last three games, Rijeka played as follows: 18.12.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Rijeka 0-0, 11.12.2025 Rijeka - Celje 3-0, 06.12.2025 Rijeka - Vukovar 3-1. HNK Gorica during the same period: 13.12.2025 Osijek - HNK Gorica 1-1, 05.12.2025 Slaven Belupo - HNK Gorica 2-1, 01.12.2025 HNK Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb 0-2. From their recent head-to-head encounters, note the match on 05.10.2025: HNK Gorica - Rijeka 1-3.

Goal Scoring Series

In terms of scoring, Rijeka averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 goals conceded per game over their last five matches, while HNK Gorica averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded. Rijeka's overall average total goals is 1.8, and HNK Gorica's is 2. For over 2.5 goals: Rijeka has 2 out of 5 matches, and HNK Gorica only 1 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once in 5 games for both teams, and in the second half - 2 out of 5 for Rijeka and 1 out of 5 for HNK Gorica. The most frequent goal interval for both teams is 76-90 minutes: Rijeka at 43%, HNK Gorica at 40%. For goals conceded, Rijeka stands out in the 0-15 and 61-75 minute intervals (50% each), while HNK Gorica is notable in the 16-30 minute interval (40%). These data indicate that Rijeka appears more reliable in defense, while HNK Gorica struggles with converting chances. Overall, the statistics on totals and scoring of both sides support a bet on under 2.5 goals, which is priced at 1.76. This choice is backed by HNK Gorica's low scoring and Rijeka's not very high frequency of over 2.5 goals.

Corners: Figures and Potential Bets

Rijeka averages 6.2 corners in their last 5 games, while HNK Gorica averages 2.8. For over 9.5 corners: Rijeka has 2 out of 5, HNK Gorica 1 out of 5. Among the offered lines on corners, the total closest to the sum of average values (9) is 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.96, under 9.5 at 1.76. For the outcome on corners, Rijeka is the favorite with odds of 1.15. Given the disparity in corner kicks between the teams, it's logical to consider a bet on Rijeka's individual corner total over 6, or the overall total over 8.5. However, it's important to consider HNK Gorica's low activity in this metric, which could affect the total number of corners in the match.