Prediction for match Independiente Rivadavia — Fluminense

Match Analysis: Independiente Rivadavia vs Fluminense

In the Copa Libertadores on May 7, 2026, Independiente Rivadavia will face Fluminense. The 1X2 odds show Independiente Rivadavia at 2.44, Fluminense at 3.13, and a draw at 3.19. The probabilities for an Independiente Rivadavia win are 39.30%, a draw at 30.06%, and a Fluminense win at 30.64%. Hence, Independiente Rivadavia is slightly favored to win, though the margin is not large. For goal totals, over 2.0 goals is priced at 1.63, over 2.5 goals at 2.27, both teams to score 'yes' at 1.88, and 'no' at 1.82.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Independiente Rivadavia has averaged 52.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 0.4 offsides per game. Fluminense maintains 59% possession, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 11.8 fouls, and has 0.6 offsides on average. In their last three matches, Independiente Rivadavia played as follows: May 3 - Aldosivi 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia, April 30 - Independiente Rivadavia 4-1 Deportivo La Guaira, April 26 - Independiente Rivadavia 5-1 Gimnasia M. For Fluminense: May 3 - Internacional 2-0 Fluminense, April 30 - Bolivar 2-0 Fluminense, April 26 - Fluminense 2-1 Chapecoense. Their last head-to-head match was on April 16: Fluminense 1-2 Independiente Rivadavia.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The average goals in Independiente Rivadavia's matches over the last five games is 3.2, with the team scoring 2.4 and conceding 0.8. For Fluminense, the average total is 2.4, scoring 1 and conceding 1.4. For over 2.5 goals, Independiente Rivadavia has 3 out of 5, while Fluminense has 2 out of 5. In the first half, Independiente Rivadavia had over 1.5 goals 4 times out of 5, while Fluminense had it 1 out of 5. In the second half, both teams had over 1.5 goals once in 5 games. Goal intervals for Independiente Rivadavia show scoring most frequently in the 0-15, 16-30, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals - each 18%. Fluminense is most effective in the first 15 minutes and between 46-60 minutes - each 33%. As for goals conceded, Independiente Rivadavia concedes most in the 0-15 and 31-45 minute intervals - 40% each. Fluminense concedes most in the 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 minute intervals - 33% each. Independiente Rivadavia appears more stable in scoring, while Fluminense tends to concede more. Considering the scoring averages of both teams and Independiente Rivadavia's frequent over 2.5 goal matches, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.63 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Independiente Rivadavia averages 4.8 corners per match, while Fluminense averages 3.2. In the last 5 games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred twice for Independiente Rivadavia and once for Fluminense. Looking at corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (8) is 8.5: over 8.5 is priced at 1.65, under 8.5 at 1.67. For the corner outcome, Independiente Rivadavia is at 2.05, Fluminense at 2.18. In this match, 8-9 corners are expected, with Independiente Rivadavia delivering more set-pieces, and Fluminense trailing in this metric.