Prediction for match Santa Fe — Corinthians

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On May 7, 2026, in the Copa Libertadores, Santa Fe will face Corinthians. In the 1X2 betting market, Corinthians is priced at 2.57 to win, Santa Fe at 2.91, and a draw at 3.23. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Santa Fe has a 32.97% chance, a draw is at 29.70%, and Corinthians at 37.33%. Bookmakers slightly favor the Brazilian team, but the gap is not significant, promising a competitive match.

Team Form and Statistics

In their last five matches, Santa Fe recorded the following results: on May 3, they defeated La Equidad 3-1, lost to Platense 1-2 on April 29, won against Deportivo Pasto 2-1 on April 23, convincingly beat Cucuta 5-0 on April 19, and lost to Corinthians 0-2 on April 16. During the same period, Corinthians played as follows: lost to Mirassol 1-2 on May 3, won against Peñarol 2-0 on May 1, beat Vasco da Gama 1-0 on April 26, won over Barra 1-0 on April 22, and drew 0-0 with Vitoria on April 18. In their head-to-head on April 16, Corinthians emerged victorious with a 2-0 win. On average, over the last five matches, Santa Fe holds 45.2% possession, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 11 fouls, and is caught offside 0.4 times per game. Corinthians maintains 57.4% possession, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 12.6 fouls, and is caught offside once per match.

Goals Prediction for Santa Fe vs Corinthians

Santa Fe shows an attacking profile, scoring an average of 2.2 goals in their last five matches, with a total goals average of 3.4. Corinthians is more pragmatic, with an average of 1 goal per game and a total of 1.4 goals over five games. Regarding over 2.5 goals, 4 out of 5 Santa Fe matches ended with three or more goals, while only 1 out of 5 for Corinthians. Santa Fe has over 1.5 goals in the second half in all five matches, but only 1 out of 5 in the first half. Corinthians has no matches with over 1.5 goals in the second half, but 2 out of 5 in the first half. Santa Fe most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (38%), while Corinthians scores between the 16th and 30th minutes and the 31st and 45th minutes (40%). Santa Fe concedes most goals between the 61st and 75th minutes (50%), while Corinthians concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes and the 76th and 90th minutes (50%). Overall, Santa Fe appears more prolific, while Corinthians tends to play a low-scoring, defensive game. In this scenario, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.58 seems logical: Santa Fe's attacking style may face organized Corinthians defense, and the Brazilians rarely play high-scoring matches.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Santa Fe earns 2.6 corners per match, while Corinthians earns 4.2. In the last five games, both teams had only one match with a total of over 9.5 corners. Considering a corners total of 9.5, over 9.5 is priced at 2.00, while under 9.5 is at 1.72. Santa Fe is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.98. Given the statistics, it makes sense to consider a low corners total since both teams rarely exceed 9.5 per match. It's also worth noting that Santa Fe earns fewer corners than Corinthians, but both teams' profiles lean towards a low total.