Prediction for match Independiente Rivadavia — Atletico Sarmiento

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Argentine Professional League match between Independiente Rivadavia and Atletico Sarmiento on February 4, 2026, the odds for an Independiente Rivadavia win are 1.90, a draw is priced at 3.05, and an Atletico Sarmiento victory is at 4.68. The probability distribution for the 1X2 outcomes is as follows: Independiente Rivadavia - 49.29%, Draw - 30.70%, Atletico Sarmiento - 20.01%. These numbers suggest that Independiente Rivadavia is the favorite, but the significant percentage for a draw indicates a potentially tight contest. Additionally, the odds for over 2.0 total goals are 1.98, while under 2.25 total goals are at 1.51, reflecting moderate expectations for scoring.

Team Recent Matches Review

In their last five matches, Independiente Rivadavia has gained momentum, showing an average ball possession of 44.4%, 2.4 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. In comparison, Atletico Sarmiento exhibits a more aggressive style with 4.4 yellow cards, 19.2 fouls, 2.2 offsides, and 47.8% possession. Recent matches for Independiente Rivadavia: 27.01.2026 - Huracan - Independiente Rivadavia 1-2, 24.01.2026 - Independiente Rivadavia - Atletico Tucuman 2-1, 17.11.2025 - Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Rivadavia 0-2. Atletico Sarmiento's recent matches: 30.01.2026 - Atletico Sarmiento - Banfield 1-0, 26.01.2026 - Argentinos Juniors - Atletico Sarmiento 1-0, 15.11.2025 - San Lorenzo - Atletico Sarmiento 1-1. In their head-to-head on 26.05.2024, Atletico Sarmiento lost to Independiente Rivadavia 0-1.

Goal Totals Statistics

Looking at scoring, Independiente Rivadavia has an average total of 2.4 goals in their last five matches, while Atletico Sarmiento has 1.8. Independiente Rivadavia scores an average of 1.4 and concedes 1, whereas Atletico Sarmiento scores 1 and concedes 0.8. For over 2.5 goals, Independiente Rivadavia has 3 out of 5 matches over, and Atletico Sarmiento has 1 out of 5. In terms of halves, both teams have only one instance of over 1.5 goals in the first half in their last five matches. In the second half, Independiente Rivadavia has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, while Atletico Sarmiento has 1 out of 5. Independiente Rivadavia most frequently scores in the 0-15 minute interval (33%), and Atletico Sarmiento in the same interval (50%). Independiente Rivadavia most often concedes in the 61-75 minute segment (50%), as does Atletico Sarmiento (67%). Overall, both teams lean towards lower scoring, especially Atletico Sarmiento. A bet on under 2.25 total goals at 1.51 seems logical, given Atletico Sarmiento's low scoring and Independiente Rivadavia's moderate goal profile.

Corner Totals Analysis

Regarding average corners, Independiente Rivadavia earns 4.4 per match, and Atletico Sarmiento 4.6. In their last five games, Independiente Rivadavia had 2 out of 5 matches with over 9.5 corners, while Atletico Sarmiento had 3 out of 5. Among available corner totals, the line closest to their average sum (9) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 2.01, under 9.5 at 1.71. Independiente Rivadavia is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.57. Overall, 8-10 corners can be expected, and a bet on over 9.5 corners could be appealing for risk-oriented bettors, considering the balance of average values and frequency of occurrence.