Prediction for match Independiente — Lanus, 14.02.2026

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

The match between Independiente and Lanus in the Argentine Liga Profesional will take place on 13.02.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Independiente's victory is priced at 2.19, a draw at 3.08, and Lanus's win at 3.48. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Independiente 42.73%, draw 30.38%, Lanus 26.89%. Independiente is considered the most likely winner, although the percentage gap between the teams is not very large. In the goal totals market, the option closest to the average match scoring is over 1.5 goals at 1.50, and over 2.0 goals at 1.83, reflecting the bookmakers' cautious approach to goal expectations. The option for both teams to score: yes is at 2.08, no at 1.67, indicating a slight tilt towards a low-scoring game. Overall, the odds for the match are balanced and reflect a moderate advantage for Independiente.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Independiente had an average possession of 47%, received 3 yellow cards, committed 11.2 fouls, and had 3.2 offsides per game. Lanus stands out with a higher possession percentage (52.8%), 2.6 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Independiente played as follows: 08.02.2026 Platense - Independiente 0-1, 31.01.2026 Independiente - Velez Sarsfield 1-1, 28.01.2026 Newell's Old Boys - Independiente 1-1. Lanus's last three results were: 09.02.2026 Lanus - Talleres Cordoba 1-1, 04.02.2026 Instituto Cordoba - Lanus 2-2, 29.01.2026 Lanus - Union Santa Fe 2-1. The last head-to-head match between these teams took place on 13.10.2025 and ended with a 2-0 victory for Lanus.

Goals Totals Statistics

In a five-match series, Independiente's average total goals per match are 1.6, scoring 1 and conceding 0.6 per game. Lanus has a noticeably higher average total of 3 goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4. In terms of over 2.5 goals, Independiente had none out of 5 matches, while Lanus had 3 out of 5. The line for over 1.5 goals is offered at 1.50, aligning with the average scoring of both teams. In the first half, over 1.5 goals were recorded only once for each team over 5 matches, while in the second half, Independiente had no occurrences of over 1.5, and Lanus had 4 out of 5. The most frequent goal interval for Independiente is 31-45 minutes (50%), while for Lanus, it's 76-90 minutes (43%). Independiente most often concedes between 31-45 minutes (50%), and Lanus between 61-75 minutes (38%). Overall, the statistics suggest a cautious start with potential increased activity after the break, especially from Lanus. Considering the average scoring and frequent over 1.5 goals for Lanus, a bet on over 1.5 goals at 1.50 seems logical for this match.

Corners Totals Analysis

Independiente averages 4.2 corners per match, while Lanus averages 3.6, totaling 7.8. In the last 5 games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred once for Independiente and twice for Lanus. The line for total corners includes options: over 7.5 at 1.41 and under 7.5 at 2.56, as well as over 8.5 at 1.75 and under 8.5 at 1.94. The closest to the average is over 7.5 corners at 1.41 and under 7.5 at 2.56. In terms of corners outcome, Independiente is favored with odds of 1.50. Statistically, neither team frequently exceeds high corners totals, so a bet on a moderate corners total seems justified. Overall, 7-9 corners can be expected per game, with the edge in corners likely going to Independiente.