Prediction for match Instituto Cordoba — Velez Sarsfield, 23.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages

In the Argentine Professional League match between Instituto Cordoba and Velez Sarsfield, scheduled for January 23, 2026, the odds for the main outcomes are almost even. Instituto Cordoba's victory is priced at 2.72, a draw at 2.78, and Velez Sarsfield's win at 2.90. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Instituto Cordoba - 34.29%, draw - 33.55%, Velez Sarsfield - 32.16%. This reflects the absence of a clear favorite, though Instituto Cordoba has a slight edge in both odds and probability. The odds for over 1.5 goals are 1.60, while under 2.25 goals is at 1.48, indicating cautious expectations for a low-scoring game. Both teams to score: no is at 1.60, yes at 2.20, further confirming the low-scoring nature of this fixture.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last three matches, Instituto Cordoba has played as follows: November 16, 2025 - Instituto Cordoba vs. Talleres Cordoba - 0-0, November 9, 2025 - Atletico Sarmiento vs. Instituto Cordoba - 2-1, November 1, 2025 - Instituto Cordoba vs. Rosario Central - 1-3. Velez Sarsfield in the same period: November 22, 2025 - Velez Sarsfield vs. Argentinos Juniors - 0-2, November 16, 2025 - Velez Sarsfield vs. River Plate - 0-0, November 10, 2025 - Gimnasia vs. Velez Sarsfield - 2-0. Over the last five matches, Instituto Cordoba averages 52.6% possession, 2 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Velez Sarsfield averages 52.4% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on July 26, 2025, Velez Sarsfield and Instituto Cordoba drew 0-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Instituto Cordoba's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred twice, under 2.5 goals three times. Velez Sarsfield has not had a single match exceed 2.5 goals in the same period, with all five ending under. Instituto Cordoba's average match total is 2 goals, while Velez Sarsfield's is 1.4. Instituto Cordoba scores on average 0.8 and concedes 1.2; Velez Sarsfield scores 0.4 and concedes 1. In the first half, Instituto Cordoba had over 1.5 goals twice and under three times; in the second half, over once and under four times. Velez Sarsfield never had over 1.5 goals in the first half, all five under; in the second half, over twice, under three times. Instituto Cordoba most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (33%) and concedes between the 61st-75th minutes (75%). Velez Sarsfield scores most often between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (50% each) and concedes also in the 61st-75th minutes (60%). Given the low scoring averages, Velez Sarsfield's consistent under profile, and frequent under 2.5 totals, a bet on under 2.25 goals at 1.48 seems logical, though the odds are below the acceptable threshold. A more suitable choice is a bet on both teams not to score at 1.60, considering Velez Sarsfield has scored only 2 goals in their last 5 matches, and Instituto Cordoba 4. In the last three head-to-heads, both teams scored only once.

Analysis of Total Corners

Instituto Cordoba averages 5.2 corners per match, while Velez Sarsfield averages 7. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: both teams recorded over twice and under three times in their last five matches. Among the odds for total corners, there's a line at 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.95, under 9.5 at 1.76. For the corners outcome, Instituto Cordoba is at 1.95, Velez Sarsfield at 2.27. The combined average of both teams' corners (5.2 + 7 = 12.2) is above the 9.5 line, suggesting a potential for a bet on over 9.5 corners. However, the frequency of over 9.5 isn't very high, so a bet on over 8.5 at 1.54 seems slightly more reliable. Overall, both teams regularly win corners, and the match could be active in this regard.