Prediction for match Inter — Bologna, 04.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On January 4th, Inter will face Bologna in Serie A. The odds for an Inter win are 1.45, a draw is priced at 4.96, and a Bologna victory is at 7.95. According to probability percentages: Inter 67.81%, draw 19.82%, Bologna 12.37%. Inter is the favorite both in terms of odds and probabilities, but Bologna has a history of surprising results in head-to-head clashes. Meanwhile, the odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.79, and under 2.5 goals are 2.19, reflecting moderate expectations for scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Inter has an average possession rate of 53.8%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per game. Bologna's figures are 50.4% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Inter's last three matches were: December 28, 2025, Atalanta - Inter 0-1; December 19, 2025, Bologna - Inter 4-3; December 14, 2025, Genoa - Inter 1-2. For Bologna: December 28, 2025, Bologna - Sassuolo 1-1; December 22, 2025, Napoli - Bologna 2-0; December 19, 2025, Bologna - Inter 4-3. The last head-to-head was on December 19, 2025: Bologna - Inter 4-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Inter averages 2.2 goals per game over their last five, while Bologna averages 2. Inter scores 1.6 and concedes 0.6 goals on average, whereas Bologna scores 0.8 and concedes 1.2. In their last five, Inter had over 2.5 goals in 2 matches and under in 3, while Bologna had over 2.5 in 1 match and under in 4. By halves, Inter had more than 1.5 goals in the first half in 2 out of 5 matches, and in the second half in 1 out of 5. Bologna had more than 1.5 in the first half in 1 out of 5, and in the second half in 2 out of 5. Goal intervals for Inter are most frequent in the 76-90 minute range (33%), with goals conceded early (0-15 minutes, 40%). Bologna scores most often in the 31-45 and 46-60 minute ranges (40% each), and concedes in the 61-75 minute range (80%). Considering Bologna's low scoring and Inter's infrequent over 2.5, a bet on under 2.5 at 2.19 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Inter averages 6.8 corners per match, while Bologna averages 4.2. In their last five matches, Inter's total corners over 9.5 hit 3 times, and Bologna's hit twice. Considering corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (11) is set at 11, with odds of over 11 at 3.07 and under 11 at 1.32. For corner outcomes, Inter is the favorite with odds of 1.35. It makes sense to consider a bet on Inter's individual corners over 5.5, given their average, and also to look at the overall total over 9.5, which occurred in 3 of Inter's last 5 matches.