Prediction for match Istanbul Basaksehir — Fenerbahce, 06.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Süper Lig match between Istanbul Basaksehir and Fenerbahce on December 6, bookmakers heavily favor Fenerbahce. Fenerbahce's win is priced at 1.68, a draw is at 4.14, and Istanbul Basaksehir's victory is at 5.09. In terms of probability percentages: Istanbul Basaksehir's success is at 19.01%, a draw is at 23.38%, and Fenerbahce's win is at 57.61%. This outlook reflects confidence in Fenerbahce's superiority ahead of this encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

Istanbul Basaksehir achieved the following results in their last three matches: November 29 - Kasimpasa 1-3 Istanbul Basaksehir, November 24 - Istanbul Basaksehir 3-4 Trabzonspor, November 7 - Genclerbirligi 2-1 Istanbul Basaksehir. Fenerbahce played as follows: December 1 - Fenerbahce 1-1 Galatasaray, November 27 - Fenerbahce 1-1 Ferencvaros, November 23 - Rizespor 2-5 Fenerbahce. In their head-to-head on May 9, 2025, Istanbul Basaksehir lost to Fenerbahce 1-4. Over the last five matches, Istanbul Basaksehir has maintained 56.6% possession, received 2.8 yellow cards, committed 13.4 fouls, and was caught offside 1.2 times per game. Fenerbahce, in the same categories, shows 60.6% possession, 2.8 yellows, 9 fouls, and 0.8 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five matches, Istanbul Basaksehir has shown productive football: the average number of goals in their matches is 3.8, with the team scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.4. Fenerbahce's average is 3.4 goals, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.2. Regarding the frequency of over 2.5 goals: Istanbul Basaksehir has 4 out of 5 matches with over, while Fenerbahce has 2 out of 5. In the first half, the total over 1.5 was recorded in 3 out of 5 for Istanbul Basaksehir and 2 out of 5 for Fenerbahce, and in the second half - 4 out of 5 for Istanbul Basaksehir and 3 out of 5 for Fenerbahce. In terms of goal intervals: Istanbul Basaksehir most often scores and concedes in the 76-90 minute segment (43% and 42% respectively), while Fenerbahce is most productive in the 0-15, 31-45, and 61-75 intervals (25% each), and concedes in the 46-60 and 61-75 intervals (33% each). Both teams have strong attacking potential and are prone to high-scoring endings. Considering the average totals and frequency of outcomes, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.75 seems optimal.

Corner Bets

Over a five-match span, Istanbul Basaksehir averages 5.4 corners, while Fenerbahce has a higher average of 6.6. In the last five matches, both teams consistently surpassed the 9.5 corners total. For the nearest total with a pair of outcomes, for the 9.5 corners line: over 9.5 is at 1.95, under 9.5 is at 1.74. For corner outcomes, Fenerbahce is favored with odds of 1.44. Both teams play actively on the flanks, as evidenced by high averages and the frequency of surpassing the upper total, so a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical for this match.