Prediction for match Istanbul Basaksehir — Samsunspor

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

On May 9, 2026, in the Turkish Süper Lig, Istanbul Basaksehir will face Samsunspor. According to the 1X2 odds, Istanbul Basaksehir is the favorite with odds of 1.92, a draw is priced at 3.74, and a win for Samsunspor is at 4.10. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Istanbul Basaksehir - 50.46%, draw - 25.91%, Samsunspor - 23.63%. This setup reflects Istanbul Basaksehir's advantage in terms of percentages and odds, but Samsunspor is not a clear underdog in terms of chances.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Istanbul Basaksehir has shown strong performances: on May 2 they lost to Fenerbahce 1-3, on April 24 they thrashed Kasimpasa 4-0, on April 19 they drew with Trabzonspor 1-1, on April 11 they defeated Genclerbirligi 3-0, and on April 6 they had a goalless draw with Kocaelispor 0-0. Samsunspor has been impressive in their last five encounters: on May 2 they beat Galatasaray 4-1, on April 27 they won against Alanyaspor 3-2, on April 19 they overcame Besiktas 2-1, on April 13 they were stronger than Eyupspor 2-1, and on April 9 they lost to Rizespor 1-4. On average over five matches, Istanbul Basaksehir holds 56.8% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 10.8 fouls, and records 2 offsides. Samsunspor maintains 55.4% possession, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 15 fouls, and is caught offside 3.8 times. In their last head-to-head on December 14, 2025, Samsunspor lost to Istanbul Basaksehir 0-2.

How Many Goals in the Match Istanbul Basaksehir - Samsunspor

The scoring ability of both teams in recent matches is impressive: Istanbul Basaksehir has an average total of 2.6 goals per game, while Samsunspor averages 4.2. In terms of goals per match, Istanbul Basaksehir scores an average of 1.8 and concedes 0.8, while Samsunspor scores 2.4 and concedes 1.8. In a series of five games, Istanbul Basaksehir has exceeded the total over 2.5 three times, and Samsunspor has done so in all five. In the first halves, both teams have surpassed 1.5 goals three times, and in the second halves, Istanbul Basaksehir has done so three times, while Samsunspor has done so in all five. In terms of goal timing, Istanbul Basaksehir most frequently scores in the intervals 0-15, 16-30, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (18% each), while Samsunspor scores most often in the intervals 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (31% each). In terms of goals conceded, Istanbul Basaksehir most frequently allows goals in the intervals 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (50% each), while Samsunspor does so in the interval 76-90 minutes (63%). All this indicates a high likelihood of a high-scoring match. A bet on the total over 2.5 is priced at 1.83 and looks logical: both teams have a pronounced over-profile, with over 2.5 passing in the series, and Samsunspor consistently participates in high-scoring matches.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Istanbul Basaksehir and Samsunspor average 5 corners per match in their last five encounters. The frequency of the total over 9.5 corners is the same for both teams: two out of five times. Looking at the odds, for the total corners of 9.5, both options are available: over 9.5 is priced at 2.00, under 9.5 at 1.80. Statistically, both teams do not stand out with extremely high or low corner numbers, making the bet on the total corners of 9.5 balanced. Based on average values, it is logical to consider betting on a range of 9-10 corners, but without a clear bias towards one side.