Prediction for match Istra 1961 — HNK Rijeka

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the HNL match between Istra 1961 and HNK Rijeka on December 14, 2025, bookmakers have HNK Rijeka as the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.88. A draw is given odds of 3.34, while a win for Istra 1961 is rated at 4.14. The probabilities of outcomes are distributed as follows: Istra 1961 has a 22.51% chance, a draw is at 27.91%, and HNK Rijeka's chances stand at 49.58%. These figures reflect HNK Rijeka's advantage according to analysts, setting expectations for the final result.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Istra 1961 showed mixed results: on December 7, they defeated Osijek 5-1, drew 1-1 with Slaven Belupo on November 29, lost 0-1 to HNK Gorica on November 23, beat Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 on November 9, and shared points with Vukovar in a 1-1 draw on November 1. During the same period, HNK Rijeka won against Celje 3-0 (December 11), defeated Vukovar 3-1 (December 6), drew 1-1 with Lokomotiva Zagreb (November 30), ended 0-0 with AEK Larnaca (November 27), and thrashed Hajduk Split 5-0 (November 22). Their head-to-head on September 27, 2025, ended in a goalless draw. Additional stats over the five-match span: Istra 1961 had average possession of 50.6%, 2.4 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1 offside per game. HNK Rijeka averaged 49.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per match.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The scoring output for both teams over five matches is quite high: Istra 1961 has an average of 2.8 goals per match, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1. HNK Rijeka also averages 2.8, scoring 2.4 and conceding just 0.4. For matches with over 2.5 goals: Istra 1961 had 2 out of 5 matches with three or more goals, while HNK Rijeka had 3 out of 5. In the first half, Istra 1961 had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, HNK Rijeka in 2 out of 5. In the second half, Istra 1961 had only 1 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals, while HNK Rijeka had 3 out of 5. Goal intervals: Istra 1961 scores most often in the 0-15 and 31-45 minute intervals (33% each), conceding in the 16-30 and 31-45 intervals (25% each). HNK Rijeka scores frequently at the end (76-90 minutes - 33%) and concedes early (0-15 and 61-75 - 50% each). Overall, both teams have attacking potential, especially HNK Rijeka, supported by average scoring and over totals. On this basis, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.53 seems logical: with two goals, there's a refund, with three or more - a win.

Corners in the Match

Over the last five matches, Istra 1961 averages 3 corners, HNK Rijeka - 6.4. In the last five games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred in 2 cases for Istra 1961, and in 3 for HNK Rijeka. Considering the odds for total corners, for the line of 8.5, there are two outcomes: over 8.5 at 1.75, under 8.5 at 1.86. For corners, HNK Rijeka is favored with odds of 1.57. Given HNK Rijeka's activity with corners and the consistent frequency of over totals, it's logical to consider a bet on over 8.5 corners or HNK Rijeka's advantage in this component.