Prediction for match Istra 1961 — Osijek

Match Analysis: Istra 1961 vs Osijek

In the HNL tournament on March 6, 2026, Istra 1961 will face Osijek. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: a win for Istra 1961 is priced at 2.62, a win for Osijek at 2.70, and a draw is at 3.05. The probabilities for the main outcomes are: Istra 1961 - 35.34%, draw - 30.36%, Osijek - 34.30%. The odds and percentages suggest that these are evenly matched opponents, with neither team having a clear edge in terms of winning probability. This is also reflected in the nearly equal odds for both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Istra 1961 had an average possession of 56.8%, received 2.4 yellow cards, committed 10.4 fouls, and had 0.6 offsides per game. During the same period, Osijek had 42% possession, 3 yellow cards, 15.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In their last three matches, Istra 1961 lost to Slaven Belupo 0-1 (27.02.2026), lost to HNK Gorica 0-2 (21.02.2026), and lost to Dinamo Zagreb 0-4 (14.02.2026). Osijek in their last three games won against Vukovar 2-0 (28.02.2026), lost to Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-3 (21.02.2026), and lost to Hajduk Split 0-2 (15.02.2026). In their head-to-head match on December 7, 2025, Osijek lost to Istra 1961 1-5.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five games, Istra 1961's matches averaged 2.8 goals, with the team scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.2 per game. Osijek's matches averaged 2.4 goals, with the team scoring 1 goal and conceding 1.4. Regarding over 2.5 goals: both teams had 2 out of 5 matches end with three or more goals, and 3 out of 5 with two or fewer. For over 1.5 goals: Istra 1961 had more than 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times out of 5, while Osijek had it only once. In the second half, both teams had over 1.5 goals 2 times out of 5. As for goal intervals: Istra 1961 most often scores in the first 15 minutes (30%) and concedes at the end of the first (31-45 minutes, 40%) and second half (76-90 minutes, 40%). Osijek often scores in the second half: 25% of goals in each segment of 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes. Osijek concedes evenly, with a quarter of all goals in each of the four 15-minute segments of the first half and the end of the second. Based on these data, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.58 seems logical: neither team has a strong over-profile, their average goals scored do not exceed 1, and over 2.5 goals occurred in only 2 out of 5 matches for each side.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In the last five games, Istra 1961 averaged 4.6 corners, while Osijek averaged 4.4. For over 9.5 corners: Istra 1961 had this happen 4 times out of 5, and Osijek 3 times out of 5. The total closest to the average sum (9 corners) is the 9.5 line, with both betting options available: over 9.5 corners at 2.21, under 9.5 at 1.58. Osijek is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.98. In this match, 9-10 corners can be expected, and a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified given the frequent occurrences for both teams.