Prediction for match Jagiellonia — Fiorentina

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Conference League, Jagiellonia will face Fiorentina on 19.02.2026. Bookmakers give Fiorentina a winning odds of 2.17, Jagiellonia at 3.45, and a draw at 3.56. Jagiellonia's win probability is 28.10%, a draw is 27.23%, and Fiorentina's chances are at 44.67%. Fiorentina is seen as the favorite according to the odds and percentages, although the gap isn't huge, which makes the betting choice intriguing. Other markets like totals and both teams to score also have interesting odds, but the main focus is on the scoring ability of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

Jagiellonia, in their last five matches, has an average possession of 48.2%, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 12.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Fiorentina holds possession for 49.6% of the time, receives 1.8 yellows, commits 10 fouls, and is offside 2 times per match. In Jagiellonia's recent three matches: 14.02.2026 Cracovia - Jagiellonia 0-0, 07.02.2026 Jagiellonia - Motor Lublin 4-1, 31.01.2026 Widzew Lodz - Jagiellonia 1-3. Fiorentina played as follows: 14.02.2026 Como - Fiorentina 1-2, 07.02.2026 Fiorentina - Torino 2-2, 31.01.2026 Napoli - Fiorentina 2-1. Both teams have shown activity and resilience, as reflected in their fouls and cards statistics. Jagiellonia consistently earns points, while Fiorentina demonstrates scoring ability against various opponents.

Goal Scoring Trends

In terms of total goals over the last 5 matches, Jagiellonia had over 2.5 goals twice and under 2.5 goals three times. Fiorentina's last 5 matches all ended with over 2.5 goals, indicating a clear tendency for high-scoring games. In the first half, Jagiellonia had two overs of 1.5 goals and three unders, while Fiorentina had one over and four unders. In the second half, Jagiellonia had two overs and three unders, whereas Fiorentina consistently went over 1.5 goals in all 5 matches. The average number of goals in Jagiellonia's matches over 5 games is 2.2, while Fiorentina's is 3.4. Jagiellonia scores 1.6 and concedes 0.6 per game, Fiorentina scores 1.4 and concedes 2. Jagiellonia most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), and concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (60%). Fiorentina peaks in scoring between the 46th and 60th minutes (43%), and concedes in the same interval (40%). Given Fiorentina's consistent over 2.5 goal games and Jagiellonia's decent scoring and conceding stats, a high-scoring match is expected. For this clash, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.94 looks optimal based on both teams' statistics.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Jagiellonia averages 5.4 corners per game, while Fiorentina averages 4.8. Over 5 matches, Jagiellonia had over 9.5 corners 4 times, and Fiorentina 2 times. The total corners line closest to their combined average (10.2) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.97, under 9.5 at 1.74. Fiorentina is favored in the corner market with odds of 2.10. Considering both teams regularly earn corners, and Jagiellonia is particularly active, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical. Also, note Jagiellonia's frequent over 9.5 corners in 4 out of 5 matches, confirming a trend for high corner counts.