Prediction for match Juventus — Napoli, 25.01.2026

Match Analysis: Juventus vs Napoli

In Serie A on January 25, Juventus hosts Napoli, and the bookmakers have Juventus as the favorite: their win is priced at 2.16, a draw at 3.25, and Napoli's win at 4.09. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Juventus - 45.61%, draw - 30.31%, Napoli - 24.08%. The line for under 2.5 goals is at 1.52, indicating a tendency towards a low-scoring game. Considering the recent match statistics of both teams and their average scoring, opting for the under 2.5 goals seems justified.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Juventus recorded the following results: January 21, 2026 - Juventus vs Benfica - 2-0, January 17, 2026 - Cagliari vs Juventus - 1-0, January 12, 2026 - Juventus vs Cremonese - 5-0. Napoli's recent games were: January 20, 2026 - Copenhagen vs Napoli - 1-1, January 17, 2026 - Napoli vs Sassuolo - 1-0, January 14, 2026 - Napoli vs Parma - 0-0. On average, over the last 5 games, Juventus had 62% possession, committed 12 fouls, received 0.6 yellow cards, and were caught offside 2 times. Napoli had 62.4% possession, committed 10.8 fouls, received 0.8 yellow cards, and were caught offside 1.2 times. In their last head-to-head meeting on December 7, 2025, Napoli defeated Juventus 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Juventus averaged 2.6 total goals per game, while Napoli averaged 2.2. Juventus scored an average of 2.2 goals and conceded 0.4, Napoli scored 1.2 and conceded 1. In terms of over 2.5 goals, both teams had 2 out of 5 games, and under 3 out of 5. In the first half, Juventus only surpassed the over 1.5 goals line once out of 5, and Napoli twice. In the second half, Juventus was more productive: 4 out of 5 over 1.5, while Napoli had 3 out of 5. Juventus most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (36%) and concedes in the same interval 40%. Napoli most often scores between 61-75 minutes (43%) and concedes most frequently from 16 to 30 minutes (60%). Despite occasional bursts of scoring in the second half, the overall goal profile and frequency of over 2.5 do not appear strongly pronounced, supporting the choice of under 2.5 goals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Juventus averages 8.2 corners per match, Napoli - 6. For over 9.5 corners, Juventus has 4 out of 5, Napoli 1 out of 5. Among the corner total odds, the line closest to the average sum (14.2) is over 9.5 at 2.15 and under 9.5 at 1.63. Juventus to win on corners is at 1.72. Based on the statistics, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, especially considering Juventus's high activity in this aspect and frequent overs in recent matches.