Prediction for match Karviná — Baník Ostrava, 07.12.2025

Match Analysis: Karviná vs Baník Ostrava

In the upcoming round of the Czech First Liga on December 7, Karviná will face Baník Ostrava. The odds for a Karviná win are 2.14, for a Baník Ostrava victory – 3.15, with a draw at 3.46. The probability distribution is as follows: Karviná – 43.52%, draw – 26.92%, Baník Ostrava – 29.57%. Although Karviná is the favorite, the gap with their opponent is not too large, indicating a potentially competitive match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five games, Karviná has averaged 50.8% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per match. Baník Ostrava, over the same period, has maintained 56.6% possession, received 2.6 yellow cards, committed 14.6 fouls, and had 1.4 offsides. Karviná's last three matches: 29.11.2025 - Zlín vs Karviná 1-3, 23.11.2025 - Karviná vs Hradec Králové 4-3, 09.11.2025 - Slovan Liberec vs Karviná 6-0. For Baník Ostrava: 29.11.2025 - Baník Ostrava vs Dukla Prague 3-1, 22.11.2025 - Teplice vs Baník Ostrava 1-0, 08.11.2025 - Baník Ostrava vs Jablonec 0-1. Their head-to-head on 10.08.2025 ended with Baník Ostrava 1-2 Karviná.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Karviná's five-match average shows a total goal tally of 5.2, scoring 2.6 and conceding 2.6 per game. Baník Ostrava's figures are more modest: 2.0 total goals, 0.6 scored, and 1.4 conceded. For over 2.5 goals, Karviná has hit the mark in 5 out of 5 games, while Baník Ostrava has done so in 1 out of 5. In the first half, Karviná has 2 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals, Baník Ostrava has 1 out of 5. In the second half, Karviná shows 5 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals, Baník Ostrava 2 out of 5. Karviná most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (33%), Baník Ostrava between 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (25% each). Karviná concedes most often between 46-60 minutes (55%), Baník Ostrava between 16-30 and 76-90 minutes (50% each). This profile suggests high scoring potential for Karviná and an unstable defense for Baník Ostrava, making a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.72 a logical choice. Half-time support and total goals confirm this selection.

Corner Totals Analysis

Karviná averages 5.4 corners over 5 games, while Baník Ostrava averages 7.6. Over a five-match series, both teams have seen over 9.5 corners 3 times out of 5. Among paired corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (13) is 10.5: total corners over 10.5 – 1.84, under 10.5 – 1.84. Baník Ostrava is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.95. Based on frequent overs and high averages, a bet on total corners over 10.5 seems justified for this match.