Prediction for match Kashiwa Reysol — Machida Zelvia

Match Analysis: Kashiwa Reysol vs Machida Zelvia

On December 6, 2025, Kashiwa Reysol will face Machida Zelvia in the J1 League. The odds are set at 1.88 for a Kashiwa Reysol win, 3.62 for a draw, and 4.15 for a Machida Zelvia victory. In terms of probability, Kashiwa Reysol has a 50.70% chance, a draw is at 26.33%, and Machida Zelvia stands at 22.97%. Kashiwa Reysol is the favorite, but Machida Zelvia could put up a fight, given the relatively small difference between a draw and a Machida Zelvia win.

Recent Form of Kashiwa Reysol and Machida Zelvia

In their last three matches, Kashiwa Reysol defeated Albirex Niigata 3-1 (November 30), beat Nagoya Grampus 1-0 (November 8), and comfortably won against Yokohama FC 2-0 (October 25). Recently, Machida Zelvia won against Nagoya Grampus 3-1 (November 30), beat Gangwon 3-1 (November 25), and lost to FC Tokyo 0-1 (November 9). In their head-to-head clash on May 17, 2025, Machida Zelvia thrashed Kashiwa Reysol 3-0. Looking at additional stats, Kashiwa Reysol averages 61.4% possession, commits 8.8 fouls, receives 0.4 yellow cards, and is caught offside once per game over their last five matches. Machida Zelvia holds 44.6% possession, commits 11.8 fouls, receives 1.8 yellow cards, and is caught offside 2.2 times per match.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Kashiwa Reysol has an average total of 2.6 goals per game in their last five matches, scoring 2.4 and conceding 0.2, while Machida Zelvia has an average total of 2.4, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1. For matches with over 2.5 goals, Kashiwa Reysol has hit this mark 2 out of 5 times, and Machida Zelvia 3 out of 5, indicating a tendency towards high-scoring games, especially for Machida Zelvia. Both teams have seen over 1.5 goals in the first half twice in their last five matches, while Kashiwa Reysol exceeded 1.5 goals in the second half three times, and Machida Zelvia once. Kashiwa Reysol scores most frequently between the 61st and 75th minute (40%), while Machida Zelvia scores between the 46th and 60th minute (40%). For goals conceded, Kashiwa Reysol spreads them across three intervals: 0-15, 16-30, and 46-60 with 25% each, while Machida Zelvia concedes most in the 16-30 and 76-90 intervals with 29%. Given the average scoring of both teams, frequent over 2.5 goals, and Kashiwa Reysol's second-half activity, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.98 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol averages 5.6 corners per match, while Machida Zelvia averages 6.2. In their last five games, Kashiwa Reysol has had over 9.5 corners in 2 matches, and Machida Zelvia in 3 matches. The closest total to their average is 11.5, with odds of Under 11.5 at 1.22 and Over 11.5 at 3.50. A more balanced line is over 9.5 at 1.99 and under 9.5 at 1.94. Kashiwa Reysol is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.58. Considering the attacking style of both teams and their average corner stats, a bet on over 9.5 corners is reasonable. Also, Kashiwa Reysol's edge in corner outcomes is supported by their average performance in this aspect.