Prediction for match Kasimpasa — Samsunspor

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Turkish Süper Lig on January 30, Kasimpasa will face Samsunspor. Bookmakers favor Samsunspor with odds of 2.32 for a win, 3.24 for Kasimpasa, and 3.43 for a draw. The probabilities according to the bookmakers are distributed as follows: Kasimpasa - 29.93%, draw - 28.27%, Samsunspor - 41.80%. The goal total line is set at: under 2.5 goals at 1.81, over 2.5 goals at 2.09. For both teams to score: yes is at 1.78, no at 1.93. Individual total options: Kasimpasa over 1 goal at 1.83, Samsunspor over 1 goal at 1.54. For half-time totals: over 1.5 goals in the second half is at 2.22, under 1.5 is at 1.62. Among all the presented markets, the under 2.5 goals at 1.81 seems the most balanced.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Kasimpasa has an average possession of 42.4%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 15 fouls, and records 2.2 offsides per game. Samsunspor, in their last five games, has 56% possession, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 11.4 fouls, and records 2 offsides. In the last three matches, Kasimpasa played as follows: 23.01.2026 Trabzonspor - Kasimpasa 2-1, 18.01.2026 Kasimpasa - Antalyaspor 0-0, 21.12.2025 Galatasaray - Kasimpasa 3-0. Samsunspor in their last three games: 24.01.2026 Samsunspor - Kocaelispor 0-0, 18.01.2026 Genclerbirligi - Samsunspor 1-1, 06.01.2026 Fenerbahce - Samsunspor 2-0. In their last head-to-head on 17.09.2025, Samsunspor and Kasimpasa drew 0-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 matches, Kasimpasa recorded over 2.5 goals twice and under 2.5 goals three times, while Samsunspor played under 2.5 goals in all five games. Kasimpasa never had more than 1.5 goals in the first half, while in the second half they had over 1.5 goals twice. Samsunspor did not have more than 1.5 goals in either half in any of the five matches. The average goal count in Kasimpasa's matches over five games is 1.2, and for Samsunspor, it's 1.6. Kasimpasa scores an average of 0.2 goals per game and concedes 1, while Samsunspor also scores 0.2 but concedes 1.4. Kasimpasa most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minute (60%), while Samsunspor scores between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (29% each). Kasimpasa concedes most in the 61st-75th minute (100%), and Samsunspor in the 31st-45th minute (100%). Overall, both teams show low scoring, especially in the first half, and Samsunspor consistently plays under 2.5 goals. This makes the under 2.5 goals bet at 1.81 the most logical based on the data presented.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Kasimpasa averages 4 corners per match, while Samsunspor averages 5.4. In the last five matches, Kasimpasa hit over 9.5 corners twice, and Samsunspor three times. The line for total corners closest to the average is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 2.00, under 9.5 at 1.78. In such conditions, it makes sense to consider cautious bets on the total corners around 9.5, considering both teams average just under 10 corners per match. Kasimpasa records offsides more frequently (2.2 vs. 2), and both teams are almost equal in yellow cards. Overall, the match is expected to have a moderate number of corners, and the bet on under 9.5 corners seems justified.