Prediction for match Kocaelispor — Besiktas

Kocaelispor vs Besiktas Match Analysis

In the Turkish Cup on February 5th, Kocaelispor will face Besiktas. Bookmakers consider Besiktas the favorite, offering odds of 1.75 for their win, 3.60 for a draw, and 4.48 for a Kocaelispor victory. The probability distribution is as follows: Kocaelispor win - 20.81%, draw - 25.90%, Besiktas win - 53.28%. While there are options for total goals and both teams to score, a Besiktas victory seems the most justified bet based on the overall factors.

Team Results and Statistics

Kocaelispor's last three matches were as follows: a 0-2 loss to Fenerbahce on February 2nd, a 0-0 draw with Samsunspor on January 24th, and a 1-2 defeat to Trabzonspor on January 18th. During the same period, Besiktas defeated Konyaspor 2-1 on January 31st, drew 2-2 with Eyupspor on January 26th, and beat Kayserispor 1-0 on January 19th. Over a five-match series, Kocaelispor averages 50.2% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 11.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Besiktas has higher possession at 55%, with 2.6 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their head-to-head on September 29, 2025, Besiktas won 3-1.

Goals According to Match Statistics

For Kocaelispor, the average total goals over 5 matches is 2, with the team scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Besiktas has an average total of 3, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2. In a series of five games, Kocaelispor's total over 2.5 occurred twice, and under 2.5 three times. Besiktas, on the other hand, saw over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches and under 2.5 twice. For half-time goals, Kocaelispor saw over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and once in the second. Besiktas also had over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and twice in the second. Kocaelispor most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (50%), while they concede most often between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%). Besiktas scores most frequently between the 61st and 75th minutes and the 76th and 90th minutes (33% each) and concedes most often between the 16th and 30th minutes (50%). Overall, Besiktas's goal and scoring statistics are higher, as confirmed by their recent results. Kocaelispor is less stable in attack, while Besiktas consistently scores at least one goal, strengthening the case for their victory.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Kocaelispor averages 4.6 corners per match, while Besiktas averages 5.4. In a five-match series, the total corners over 9.5 occurred twice for Kocaelispor and three times for Besiktas. Among the corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (10) is 9.5. For this, there are both options: total corners over 9.5 at odds of 2.07, and under 9.5 at 1.70. Based on the data, both teams are capable of earning a sufficient number of corners, especially considering Besiktas's attacking style and Kocaelispor's even corner distribution. It's logical to consider total corners over 9.5 as an interesting option for an additional bet.