Prediction for match Larisa — Asteras

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

On March 14, in the Greek Super League, Larisa will face Asteras. According to the 1X2 odds, Larisa is priced at 2.41, a draw at 2.94, and an Asteras win at 3.21. The probability percentages for a win are distributed as follows: Larisa - 38.90%, draw - 31.89%, Asteras - 29.21%. It's difficult to pinpoint a clear favorite based on these numbers, but Larisa has a slight edge in probability. There are a variety of options for betting on total goals, but the most intriguing is the line for under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.51, reflecting the bookmakers' cautious outlook on the match's scoring potential.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Larisa recorded the following results: lost to AEK Athens 0-1 on March 7, lost to OFI 0-3 on February 28, drew with PAOK 1-1 on February 22, also drew with Panathinaikos 1-1 on February 15, and confidently defeated Panetolikos 4-1 on February 7. During the same period, Asteras lost to Panserraikos 0-1 (March 8), lost to PAOK 0-2 (March 1), lost to Atromitos 1-2 (February 21), suffered a defeat from Panetolikos 1-3 (February 14), and won against Volos 2-0 on February 7. The last head-to-head match was on September 14, 2025, ending in a 2-2 draw. Over the last five matches, Larisa had an average possession of 45.2%, received 3.4 yellow cards, committed 15.4 fouls, and had 1.6 offsides per game. Asteras had higher possession at 49.6%, with 1.8 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 1 offside. These stats indicate that both teams are not overly aggressive, but Larisa more often finds themselves under pressure from opponents.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, both teams had the over 2.5 goals outcome 2 times out of 5, and under 3 times out of 5, indicating a tendency towards low-scoring games. Larisa's matches averaged 2.6 goals, while Asteras' averaged 2.4. Larisa scores an average of 0.6 goals per game and concedes 2, whereas Asteras scores 0.8 and concedes 1.6. By halves, Larisa had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times out of 5, and in the second half 1 out of 5. Asteras had the same: 2 out of 5 in the first half, and 2 out of 5 in the second. Larisa most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (38%), and concedes in the same period (33%). Asteras scores most often in the final minutes (76-90, 50%), and concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (75%). Given the low scoring tendencies of both teams, frequent under 2.5 outcomes, and average scoring by halves, betting on under 2.5 goals seems the most logical for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On average, Larisa takes 3.8 corners per match, and Asteras takes 4.8. In the last five games, the total corners over 9.5 happened 2 times out of 5 for both teams. Considering the line for total corners, the closest to the average sum of both teams' stats (8.6) is 9.5. Odds for over 9.5 corners are at 2.10, and under 9.5 at 1.67. Based on average corner activity and the frequency of the 9.5 total, betting on under 9.5 corners seems justified, though a slight tilt towards the over is possible in an open game. In individual corner lines, Larisa often stays within the 4.5 range, while Asteras is slightly higher, as confirmed by their average figures.