Prediction for match Latvia — Gibraltar

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Nations League, Latvia faces Gibraltar in a match scheduled for 31.03.2026. Latvia is the favorite according to the odds: a win for Latvia is at 1.23, a draw is at 6.29, and a win for Gibraltar is at 23.00. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Latvia - 80.06%, draw - 15.66%, Gibraltar - 4.28%. For total goals, the closest lines are: Over 2.5 at 1.98, Under 2.5 at 1.96. You can also consider Over 2.25 at 1.66 or Under 2.75 at 1.67, reflecting an expectation of above-average scoring for such matchups.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Latvia played as follows: 26.03.2026 - Gibraltar vs Latvia - 0-1, 16.11.2025 - Serbia vs Latvia - 2-1, 13.11.2025 - North Macedonia vs Latvia - 0-0. Gibraltar's last three matches were: 26.03.2026 - Gibraltar vs Latvia - 0-1, 17.11.2025 - Czech Republic vs Gibraltar - 6-0, 14.11.2025 - Gibraltar vs Montenegro - 1-2. In their head-to-head on 26.03.2026, Latvia defeated Gibraltar 1-0. Average stats over five matches: Latvia has 48.25% possession, 2.25 yellow cards, 11.25 fouls, and 2.5 offsides. Gibraltar has 31.8% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1 offside. These numbers highlight the difference in ball control and attacking activity between the teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five matches, Latvia's average total goals per game is 3.25, scoring 1 and conceding 2.25. Gibraltar's average total is 2.8, scoring 0.2 and conceding 2.6. For Over 2.5 goals, both teams have 3 out of 5 matches ending over 2.5, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games. By halves, Latvia had Over 1.5 in the second half in 3 out of 5, and in the first half in 2 out of 5. Gibraltar had Over 1.5 in the second half in only 1 out of 5, and in the first half in 2 out of 5. Goal intervals: Latvia most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (75%), and concedes between 31-45 minutes (33%). Gibraltar's most frequent goals are in the 16-30 and 31-45 minute intervals (27% each), with goals conceded in the 31-45 and 61-75 minute intervals (50% each). Considering both teams' average scoring, frequency of Over 2.5 passes, and Gibraltar's defensive vulnerabilities, a bet on Over 2.5 goals at 1.98 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Latvia averages 4 corners per match, Gibraltar - 1.2. For the frequency of Over 9.5 corners: Latvia 2 out of 5, Gibraltar 4 out of 5. Among the available totals for corners close to the average sum (5.2) is the 9.5 line, with both sides available. Over 9.5 corners is at 2.44, under 9.5 is at 1.53. For the outcome on corners, Latvia is favored with odds of 1.16. Statistically, moderate numbers of corners are expected, but Gibraltar often plays over 9.5, which might add activity to this metric. Overall, a bet on Over 9.5 corners looks interesting for an additional choice.