Prediction for match Lausanne — Luzern

Match Analysis: Lausanne vs Luzern

In the Swiss Super League on May 2, Lausanne will face Luzern. The odds for a Lausanne win are 2.28, for Luzern 2.77, and a draw is priced at 3.74. The probabilities for each outcome are as follows: Lausanne's victory is estimated at 41.11%, a draw at 25.06%, and Luzern's win at 33.83%. The odds on goal totals suggest a high-scoring game, with over 2.5 goals offered at 1.38 and under 2.5 at 2.64, indicating expectations of many goals. The market for both teams to score is priced at 1.36 for yes and 2.90 for no, also hinting at a likely exchange of goals.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Lausanne played as follows: April 25 - Lausanne 3-0 Zurich, April 12 - Sion 3-0 Lausanne, April 4 - Lausanne 2-1 Winterthur. Luzern's recent results are: April 25 - Grasshopper 1-2 Luzern, April 12 - Luzern 2-2 St. Gallen, April 6 - Servette 3-0 Luzern. In their last head-to-head on March 22, Luzern defeated Lausanne 4-0. Over the last five matches, Lausanne averaged 46.8% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 0.2 offsides per game. Luzern averaged 54.8% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.8 offsides.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Lausanne vs Luzern Match

In the last five matches, Lausanne's average total goals per game is 3, while Luzern's is 3.4. Lausanne scores 1 goal per game and concedes 2, while Luzern scores 1.8 and concedes 1.6. Lausanne has seen over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, and Luzern in all 5. In terms of half-time goals, Lausanne had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 3 out of 5 games, and in the second half in 2 out of 5. Luzern had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 2 out of 5 games, and in the second half in 4 out of 5. Lausanne most frequently scores between the 46th-60th and 61st-75th minutes (23% each), while Luzern scores mostly in the first 15 minutes and the last 76-90 minutes (27% each). Lausanne is most vulnerable to conceding between the 31st-45th minutes (67%), while Luzern is vulnerable in the same 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each). All this suggests an over-profile match, where both teams tend to play high-scoring games, especially Luzern, which regularly scores and concedes. A logical choice would be a bet on over 2.75 goals at 1.47, but this is below the threshold. The next suitable option is over 3 goals at 1.59, which aligns with recent match statistics and is supported by frequent high totals from both teams.

Corner Totals Analysis

Over the last five matches, Lausanne averaged 4.8 corners, and Luzern 5. In the last 5 matches, over 9.5 corners occurred twice for Lausanne and three times for Luzern. The combined average for both teams is close to 9.8. Among the corner total odds, over 9.5 is priced at 1.98, under 9.5 at 1.80. Based on this data, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering both teams' attacking style and frequent wing play. It's also worth noting that both teams don't commit many fouls: Lausanne averages 13 fouls per game, Luzern 12, and both average 1.4 yellow cards per match.