Prediction for match Lausanne — Fiorentina, 18.12.2025

Match Analysis: Lausanne vs Fiorentina

In the Conference League on December 18, Lausanne will face Fiorentina. The odds for Fiorentina's victory are 2.15, while Lausanne's win is priced at 3.43, and a draw is at 3.64. In terms of probabilities, Fiorentina is rated at 45.10%, Lausanne at 28.27%, and a draw at 26.64%. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.85, and for both teams to score is 1.64. Double chance options are: 1.34 for X2 and 1.75 for 1X. Thus, Fiorentina is considered the more likely winner, though a draw cannot be ruled out.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Lausanne has an average ball possession of 44.2%, receives 3.4 yellow cards, commits 11.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. Fiorentina maintains 54.2% possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 12 fouls, and is caught offside 2.4 times. In their last three matches, Lausanne drew 0-0 with Basel (14.12), KuPS (11.12), and Lugano (07.12). Fiorentina lost 1-2 to Verona (14.12), defeated Dynamo Kyiv 2-1 (11.12), and lost 1-3 to Sassuolo (06.12). There have been no recent head-to-head encounters between these teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five games, Lausanne has a total_goals_in_match average of 1, scoring only 0.4 and conceding 0.6. Fiorentina has an average total_goals_in_match of 2.6, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8. For over 2.5 goals, Lausanne has 1 out of 5 matches, and Fiorentina 3 out of 5. In the first half, both teams have over 1.5 goals in 1 out of 5 matches, while in the second half, Lausanne has 1 out of 5 and Fiorentina 2 out of 5. Lausanne scores most frequently in four different intervals at 25% each, and concedes exclusively in the 61-75 minute range (100%). Fiorentina scores most frequently in the 61-75 minute range (38%), and concedes most often in the 31-45 minute range (40%). Considering Lausanne's low scoring and Fiorentina's unstable defense, the over 2.5 goals at 1.85 seems justified: Fiorentina has had three high-scoring games out of five, and Lausanne's defense is not flawless.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Lausanne averages 4.4 corners, while Fiorentina averages 5.4 per game. In a series of five games, Lausanne had over 9.5 corners in 4 matches, and Fiorentina in 3 matches. For a total corners bet of 9.5, the odds are 2.05 for over and 1.67 for under. Fiorentina is the favorite in corners with odds of 2.08. The combined average for corners is close to 9.8, making the over 9.5 bet logical. Overall, both teams regularly deliver corners, and the match could see plenty of action in this aspect.