Prediction for match Laval — Bastia, 16.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In France's Ligue 2 on January 16, Laval will face Bastia. The odds for a Laval win are 2.43, a draw is priced at 2.90, and a Bastia victory is at 3.22. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Laval 38.57%, draw 32.32%, Bastia 29.11%. Among the main bets, the option for both teams to score: no, with odds of 1.63, stands out, reflecting a cautious prediction on the scoring ability of both teams. The goal totals options also stay within standard lines, but betting on no goals from either side seems the most logical based on the presented statistics. In this matchup, bookmakers do not expect a high number of goals and emphasize the defensive qualities of the opponents.

Team Results and Statistics

Laval alternates between wins and losses in their last five matches: on January 10, they defeated Istres 2-0, on January 3, they lost to Clermont Foot 1-4, and on December 19, they beat Guingamp 1-0. Bastia lost to Troyes 0-2 on January 10, won against Grenoble 1-0 on January 3, and defeated Pontivy GSI 1-0 on December 20. In their head-to-head meeting on November 25, Bastia lost to Laval 0-2. Additional metrics show Laval averages 40.4% possession over five matches, records 2.6 yellow cards, commits 12.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Bastia averages 49.2% possession, 4 yellow cards, 17.4 fouls, and 0.2 offsides. These figures highlight Bastia's more aggressive play and Laval's slightly better discipline. In their five-match series, Laval shows less attacking activity, but Bastia also lacks high scoring ability. Both teams have not shown consistent scoring in recent matches, as confirmed by their average goal statistics.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Laval's last five games, the total over 2.5 goals occurred 3 times, and under 2.5 happened twice. For Bastia, the total over 2.5 was recorded only once, while under 2.5 occurred four times. In the first half, Laval had 2 out of 5 games with two or more goals, while Bastia had only 1 out of 5. In the second half, both teams exceeded 1.5 goals only once. Laval's average goals scored over 5 matches is 1, with 2 conceded, and a total of 3 goals in their matches. Bastia's average goals per game is 0.8, with 1.2 conceded, and a total of 2. Laval most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minute (44%), and concedes most often between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each). Bastia scores half of their goals in the final minutes (76th-90th), and their conceded goals are evenly distributed across three intervals: 16th-30th, 31st-45th, and 76th-90th (29% each). This profile indicates that both teams are not inclined to high scoring, and Bastia especially scores rarely. On this background, the bet both teams to score: no at 1.63 seems most justified, considering Bastia's low average goals scored and frequent under 2.5 totals in their matches. Both teams are not showing attacking stability, and Laval's defense can hold the opponent, as confirmed by their last head-to-head meeting (2-0 in favor of Laval).

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, Laval averages 2.4 per game over 5 matches, while Bastia averages 3.2. In a series of five games, Laval never exceeded a total of 9.5 corners, and Bastia only did once. Looking at the odds, there is no pair of odds for a corner total of 9.5, but it can be noted that both teams are not inclined to a high number of corners. Laval's average corner statistic is noticeably below the league average, while Bastia's is slightly above, but not critically. In this situation, it is logical to consider a bet on a low corner total, given that both teams rarely exceed 6-7 corners combined. There is also no significant skew in individual totals: a bet on Laval under 5.5 goes for 1.67, and Bastia under 4.5 goes for 1.73. Overall, the corner statistics do not promise high activity at the flags, and a bet on a low total for this indicator seems justified.