Prediction for match Lazio — Bologna

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On December 7, in Serie A, Lazio will face Bologna. The odds for a Lazio victory are 2.72, for Bologna's success - 3.02, and a draw is priced at 3.15. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Lazio - 36.18%, draw - 31.24%, Bologna - 32.58%. Based on the odds, neither team stands out as a clear favorite, and the difference in winning chances is minimal. Bookmakers' expectations regarding the match's productivity are moderate, as indicated by the odds on totals and both teams to score.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Lazio has an average possession of 51.8%, makes 5.2 corners, receives 1 yellow card, commits 9.4 fouls, and has 1 offside per game. Bologna surpasses Lazio in corners (7.4) and possession (56.6%) but commits more fouls - 13.2 and 2.4 offsides with 0.6 yellow cards. In their last three matches, Lazio: December 4 - Lazio 1-0 Milan, November 29 - Milan 1-0 Lazio, November 23 - Lazio 2-0 Lecce. Bologna: December 4 - Bologna 2-1 Parma, December 1 - Bologna 1-3 Cremonese, November 27 - Bologna 4-1 Red Bull Salzburg. In their last head-to-head on March 16, Bologna thrashed Lazio 5-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Lazio's last five games, the total over 2.5 did not occur even once, with all five matches ending under 2.5 goals. Lazio's average goals per match is 1.6, with the team scoring 1 and conceding 0.6. By halves, Lazio only had a total over 1.5 in the second half once out of five, and never in the first half. In contrast, Bologna exceeded the total over 2.5 in four out of five recent matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1. By halves, Bologna had a total over 1.5 three times in the first half and three times in the second. Lazio most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (38%), while Bologna scores most often between the 46th and 60th minutes (33%). Bologna also concedes most frequently between the 31st and 45th minutes (44%). Given Lazio's low scoring and Bologna's high scoring, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.79 seems justified, as Bologna can maintain a high tempo, while Lazio plays pragmatically but not without chances in the opponent's box.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Lazio earns an average of 5.2 corners per match, Bologna - 7.4, totaling 12.6. For the total over 9.5 corners, both teams have hit this mark twice in their last five games. Among the available totals for corners, the closest to the average sum is 9.5, with two possible outcomes: over 9.5 corners - 2.21, under 9.5 - 1.56. Bologna is favored in corners with odds of 2.05. Considering both teams' high activity from corner kicks, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, especially given the average figures and frequency of hitting over 9.5 in recent matches.