Prediction for match Lazio — Cremonese

Odds and Probability Percentages

On December 20, in Serie A, Lazio will face Cremonese. Bookmakers have identified Lazio as the clear favorite: Lazio's win is at 1.69, a draw is at 3.86, and Cremonese's success is at 6.08. Looking at the outcome probabilities, Lazio has a 58.28% chance of winning, a draw is at 25.52%, and Cremonese has a 16.20% chance. This reflects confidence in Lazio's higher class and their stability in the current period.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Lazio has averaged 52.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Cremonese holds 50% possession, with 1.8 yellows, 13.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Lazio: December 13 Parma - Lazio 0-1, December 7 Lazio - Bologna 1-1, December 4 Lazio - Milan 1-0. Cremonese played as follows: December 13 Torino - Cremonese 1-0, December 7 Cremonese - Lecce 2-0, December 1 Bologna - Cremonese 1-3. In their head-to-head on May 28, 2023, Lazio defeated Cremonese 3-2.

Goal Statistics

In a series of five games, Lazio has low scoring: an average total of 1.4 goals, scoring 1 and conceding 0.4 per match. Cremonese is more prolific with an average of 2.4 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding the same. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 0 out of 5 for Lazio, and 2 out of 5 for Cremonese. In the first half, both teams recorded over 1.5 goals only once out of 5. In the second half, Lazio never exceeded over 1.5 goals, while Cremonese did so 2 out of 5 times. In terms of goal timing, Lazio most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minute (40%), while Cremonese does in the same interval (33%). Lazio concedes most often in two intervals: 31-45 and 76-90 (50% each). Cremonese's most common times for conceding are 31-45 and 61-75 (33% each). Overall, Lazio has a clear low-scoring profile, while Cremonese's figures lean towards moderate scoring, but without a consistent over-profile. Considering Lazio's 5 out of 5 matches under 2.5 goals, and Cremonese's only 2 out of 5 over, it's logical to consider betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.87.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Lazio averages 5.8 corners per match, Cremonese 5.4. For over 9.5 corners: Lazio achieved this 2 out of 5 times, Cremonese 3 out of 5. The nearest total with a pair of odds is 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.92, under 9.5 at 1.79. Lazio is the favorite for corners at 1.33. Overall, both teams can provide 9-10 corners, but the frequency of over 9.5 corners is not stable, making a bet on over 9.5 corners moderately risky. A more logical option might be to bet on Lazio's individual corner total over 5.5, given their average of 5.8 per game.