Prediction for match Lazio — Genoa, 30.01.2026

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In Serie A on January 30, Lazio will face Genoa. The odds for a Lazio win are set at 2.12, a draw at 3.15, and a Genoa victory at 4.43. The probabilities are as follows: Lazio - 46.48%, draw - 31.28%, Genoa - 22.24%. Lazio is favored by the bookmakers, but the gap with a draw is not significant, adding intrigue to the betting choices. Options for totals and both teams to score are also available, but bookies are focusing on moderate scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at recent match statistics, Lazio has an average possession of 48.6% over the last five games, with 2.8 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 0.4 offsides per match. Genoa has the same possession percentage of 48.6%, but fewer yellow cards at 1.6, more fouls at 13.2, and 1.6 offsides per game. In their last three matches, Lazio played as follows: January 24, 2026, Lecce - Lazio 0-0, January 19, 2026, Lazio - Como 0-3, January 11, 2026, Verona - Lazio 0-1. Genoa's recent matches were: January 25, 2026, Genoa - Bologna 3-2, January 18, 2026, Parma - Genoa 0-0, January 12, 2026, Genoa - Cagliari 3-0. The last head-to-head meeting was on September 29, 2025: Genoa - Lazio 0-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, Lazio has an average total of 2 goals, while Genoa has 2.4. Lazio scores 0.6 goals per game and concedes 1.4, while Genoa has better stats with 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. For over 2.5 goals: both teams had 2 out of 5 games go "over," and 3 go "under." In the first half, Lazio had 2 out of 5 matches with two or more goals, Genoa had 1 out of 5. In the second half, Lazio had only 1 out of 5 games with two or more goals, while Genoa had 3 out of 5. For goal intervals: Lazio most frequently scores between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (50% each), while Genoa scores in the 76th-90th minute (50%). Lazio concedes most often in four different intervals, each at 22%, and Genoa in the 31st-45th minute (40%). Given Lazio's low scoring and Genoa's moderate profile, as well as frequent unders of 2.5, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.48 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

For average corners over 5 matches, Lazio has 3, and Genoa 2.6. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Lazio 1 out of 5, Genoa 2 out of 5. According to odds, over 9.5 corners is at 2.17, under 9.5 at 1.58. For the corner outcome, Lazio is favored with odds of 1.46. Based on the average corner stats and frequency, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems justified, and Lazio to win on corners is also a consideration.