Prediction for match Lazio — Sassuolo

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

Lazio and Sassuolo face off in Serie A, with the match scheduled for 09.03.2026. Bookmakers offer odds of 2.22 for a Lazio win, 3.36 for a draw, and 3.74 for a Sassuolo victory. The outcome probabilities are distributed as follows: Lazio - 44.36%, draw - 29.31%, Sassuolo - 26.33%. Lazio has the highest percentage, but the gap with Sassuolo isn't too large, adding intrigue to the encounter. Lazio is favored according to the odds, but a draw cannot be ruled out, considering the balance of power and recent match statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Lazio played as follows: 04.03.2026 - Lazio vs Atalanta - 2-2, 01.03.2026 - Torino vs Lazio - 2-0, 21.02.2026 - Cagliari vs Lazio - 0-0. Sassuolo's last three results are: 01.03.2026 - Sassuolo vs Atalanta - 2-1, 20.02.2026 - Sassuolo vs Verona - 3-0, 15.02.2026 - Udinese vs Sassuolo - 1-2. On average over 5 games, Lazio has 52.8% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 8.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per match. Sassuolo averages 40.8% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 8.6 fouls, and 2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 14.09.2025, Sassuolo beat Lazio 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Lazio only saw over 2.5 goals once, while under 2.5 goals occurred four times. Conversely, Sassuolo recorded over 2.5 goals in all five encounters. Lazio averages 2 goals per game, while Sassuolo averages 3.6. Lazio scores an average of 0.6 and concedes 1.4, whereas Sassuolo scores 2 and concedes 1.6. By halves, Lazio had no over 1.5 goals in the first half, and only once in the second half out of five games. Sassuolo had over 1.5 goals in the first half three times out of five, and four out of five in the second half. As for goal intervals, Lazio most frequently scores between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (40% each), and concedes most often between 46-60 minutes (60%). Sassuolo is most prolific between 31-45 minutes (38%) and concedes most frequently also between 46-60 minutes (45%). Given Sassuolo's high scoring rate and Lazio's average defense, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.31 looks justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Lazio averages 4.6 corners per match, while Sassuolo averages 5. In the last five games, Lazio exceeded 9.5 total corners only once, whereas Sassuolo did so four times out of five. The total corners market closest to the average sum (9.6) is the 9.5 line. Odds are 2.23 for over 9.5 corners and 1.58 for under. Lazio is favored in the corners outcome with odds of 1.46. Considering Sassuolo's activity on corners and Lazio's stable stats, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical.