Prediction for match Le Mans — Amiens, 05.12.2025

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In France's Ligue 2 on December 5th, Le Mans will face Amiens. Le Mans is favored to win with odds of 1.58, reflecting a 59.26% chance of success. A draw is priced at 3.88 with a probability of 24.13%, while an Amiens win is given odds of 5.64, suggesting a 16.60% chance. These odds indicate a significant advantage for Le Mans according to analysts.

Team Results and Statistics

Le Mans has been in solid form over their last five matches, maintaining an average possession of 49.4%, committing 15 fouls, 2.8 offsides, and receiving 2.6 yellow cards per game. Amiens slightly trails with 47.2% possession, 14.2 fouls, 0.6 offsides, and 3 yellow cards per match. In their last three games, Le Mans recorded: 21.11.2025 Pau - Le Mans 1-2, 08.11.2025 Le Mans - Red Star 0-0, 31.10.2025 Le Mans - Nancy 1-0. During the same period, Amiens played: 22.11.2025 Amiens - Guingamp 1-2, 07.11.2025 Clermont Foot - Amiens 2-1, 01.11.2025 Amiens - Grenoble 2-3. Notably, Le Mans defeated Amiens 3-2 in their encounter on April 13, 2012.

Goal Statistics

The teams show noticeable differences in scoring. Over five matches, Le Mans has an average total of 1.4 goals per game, scoring 1 and conceding 0.4. Amiens has a higher average total of 3.6, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.2. Le Mans has seen over 2.5 goals in just 1 of their last 5 matches, while Amiens has in all 5. In the first half, Le Mans exceeded 1.5 goals only once out of five games, whereas Amiens did so twice. In the second half, Le Mans never exceeded 1.5 goals, while Amiens did in 4 out of 5 matches. Le Mans most often scores between the 76th and 90th minute (50%), while Amiens scores between the 46th and 60th minute (40%). Le Mans frequently concedes between the 16th and 30th minute (67%), and Amiens also in this interval (33%). Despite Le Mans' low-scoring trend, the attacking style of Amiens and the high scoring in recent matches for both teams make a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.94 look promising. Amiens' consistency in exceeding 2.5 goals and average goal stats over five games support this choice.

Corner Bets

Le Mans averages 6 corners per game, while Amiens averages 4. In a five-match series, Le Mans exceeded 9.5 total corners 4 times, and Amiens 3 times. The total closest to their average (10) is 9.5. Although the odds for over or under 9.5 corners are not specified, expecting at least 9-10 corners in this match is logical. Notably, Le Mans often earns more corners, which could influence the match dynamics. Overall, the game promises to be rich in set-pieces, and a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified given both teams' frequencies.