Prediction for match Le Mans — Nancy

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The cup clash between Le Mans and Nancy will take place on January 11, 2026. The odds for Le Mans to win are 2.02, a draw is at 3.20, and a victory for Nancy is valued at 3.63. The probabilities for the main outcomes are distributed as follows: Le Mans - 45.71%, draw - 28.85%, Nancy - 25.44%. Le Mans is considered the favorite in the odds, but the gap is not overwhelming, and the probability of a draw is also quite high. Interestingly, both teams have shown decent form in recent matches, which could add tension to this cup encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Le Mans averaged 45.4% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 18.6 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Nancy averaged 40.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three games, Le Mans played as follows: January 3, 2026 - Le Mans vs. Saint-Étienne - 0-0, December 12, 2025 - Annecy vs. Le Mans - 1-2, December 5, 2025 - Le Mans vs. Amiens - 1-0. Nancy won their last three matches against Amiens 2-1 (January 3, 2026), Grenoble 6-4 (December 20, 2025), and Clermont Foot 1-0 (December 12, 2025). In their head-to-head on October 31, 2025, Le Mans emerged victorious 1-0. These results show that both teams are capable of keeping clean sheets and achieving decisive victories.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five matches, Le Mans has an average total of 1.4 goals, while Nancy has 2.0. Both teams score 1 goal per game, with Le Mans conceding only 0.4 and Nancy 1. For over 2.5 goals, both teams have 2 out of 5 matches, and for under 2.5, they have 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once in 5 matches for both teams, in the second half, Le Mans had it once, Nancy twice. Le Mans most frequently scores in the intervals of 0-15, 31-45, and 46-60 minutes (33% each), while Nancy scores most often in the 46-60 minute interval (50%). Le Mans concedes most frequently in the 16-30 minute interval (50%), while Nancy's conceded goals are distributed as follows: 0-15, 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (25% each). Given the low average totals and frequent under results, it's logical to consider a bet on under 2.5 goals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Le Mans averages 4.6 corners in their last five matches, while Nancy averages 3.6. For over 9.5 corners, both teams have 3 out of 5 games. This profile suggests that corners occur regularly in matches involving these teams, but they don't always exceed 9.5. When considering bets on corners, it's logical to look at a total of around 8-9 corners, as the combined average for both teams is 8.2. It's also worth noting that Le Mans commits more fouls (18.6 compared to Nancy's 12.8), which could influence the number of set-pieces and corners. Overall, a moderate number of corners can be expected, without a clear bias towards either team.