Prediction for match Lech Poznan — Raków

Match Analysis: Lech Poznan vs Raków

On March 1st in the Ekstraklasa, Lech Poznan will face Raków. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Lech Poznan is priced at 2.22, for Raków at 3.04, and a draw at 3.40. In terms of probability, Lech Poznan is given a 41.96% chance of winning, a draw is at 27.40%, and Raków at 30.64%. Thus, Lech Poznan has a slight edge according to the odds and probabilities, but Raków is not a clear underdog. The match promises to be competitive, given the close distribution of chances.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Lech Poznan has averaged 54.2% possession, with 1.4 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Raków's averages are 56% possession, 1 yellow card, 10.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three games, Lech Poznan defeated KuPS 1-0 (26.02.2026), won against Korona Kielce 2-1 (22.02.2026), and beat KuPS 2-0 (19.02.2026). Raków played a 1-0 win over Nieciecza (21.02.2026), drew 0-0 with Zagłębie Lubin (14.02.2026), and 0-0 with Radomiak Radom (08.02.2026). In their head-to-head meeting on 24.09.2025, the teams played to a 2-2 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five games, Lech Poznan has an average of 2 goals per match, scoring 1.8 and conceding only 0.2. Raków's average total goals are 1, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.4. For over 2.5 goals: Lech Poznan has seen 2 out of 5 games, while Raków has seen only 1 out of 5. In the first half, Lech Poznan had 3 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals, while Raków had none. In the second half, Lech Poznan had 0 out of 5, and Raków had 1 out of 5. Lech Poznan most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (40%), while Raków spreads their scoring across three intervals: 0-15, 31-45, and 46-60 at 33% each. Lech Poznan concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (40%) and from 31 to 45 (40%), while Raków concedes in the second half: 46-60 and 76-90 at 50% each. Overall, both teams' goal statistics suggest a tendency towards lower scores, especially for Raków, where the average total goals and frequency of over 2.5 goals are minimal. Lech Poznan appears more prolific, but they also lean towards under. A bet on under 2.5 goals, priced at 2.02, seems optimal.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Lech Poznan averages 5.8 corners per game, Raków 4.8, totaling 10.6. In their last five matches, Lech Poznan had only 1 out of 5 games with over 9.5 corners, while Raków had 3 out of 5. Looking at the total corners of 9.5, over is priced at 1.85, under at 1.83. Lech Poznan is favored to win the corner count at odds of 1.62. Considering both teams' average values, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, given both teams regularly take corners and reach high numbers collectively. Also, betting on Lech Poznan to win the corner count seems reasonable, considering their consistent performance.