Prediction for match Lechia Gdansk — Gornik Zabrze

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Ekstraklasa on December 5, 2025, Lechia Gdansk will face Gornik Zabrze. The odds for the outcome are as follows: Lechia Gdansk to win is priced at 2.45, Gornik Zabrze at 2.71, and a draw at 3.32. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Lechia Gdansk - 37.85%, draw - 27.93%, Gornik Zabrze - 34.22%. There is no clear favorite according to the odds, with the gap between the teams being minimal, but Lechia Gdansk has a slight edge in probability. The odds for over 2.5 goals are offered at 1.82, and for both teams to score: yes - at 1.62. This highlights the expectation of a high-scoring match with goals from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five games, Lechia Gdansk has shown an average possession of 51.4%, recorded 1.6 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per match. Gornik Zabrze, over the same period, averages 55% possession, 1 yellow card, 10.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Lechia Gdansk's last three matches were: 29.11.2025 - Lechia Gdansk vs Nieciecza - 5-1, 22.11.2025 - Legia Warsaw vs Lechia Gdansk - 2-2, 08.11.2025 - Lechia Gdansk vs Widzew Lodz - 2-1. Gornik Zabrze's last three matches: 28.11.2025 - Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze - 4-0, 21.11.2025 - Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Plock - 1-1, 07.11.2025 - Zaglebie Lubin vs Gornik Zabrze - 2-0. The last head-to-head match was on 02.12.2025: Lechia Gdansk vs Gornik Zabrze - 1-3.

Team Goal Scoring Streaks

Over a series of five matches, Lechia Gdansk has an average total of 3.8 goals per match, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.6. Gornik Zabrze has an average total of 3.4, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8. For over 2.5 goals: Lechia Gdansk hit the over in 5 out of 5, while Gornik Zabrze did so in 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams, while in the second half, Lechia Gdansk had over 1.5 goals 4 times out of 5, and Gornik Zabrze 3 out of 5. Goal intervals: Lechia Gdansk often scores between the 76th and 90th minute (33%), and concedes between the 31st and 45th minute (57%). Gornik Zabrze's goals are most frequent in three intervals: 0-15, 46-60, and 61-75 minutes (27% each). Conceded goals for Gornik Zabrze are similarly distributed: 0-15, 46-60, and 61-75 minutes at 33% each. Considering the frequent over 2.5 goals for both teams, high goal averages, and second-half activity, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.82 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Lechia Gdansk averages 4.6 corners per game, while Gornik Zabrze averages 6.2. In the last 5 matches, Lechia Gdansk had over 9.5 corners once, and Gornik Zabrze twice. The closest total to their averages is 10.5, but the odds only offer individual totals of 4.5 corners for each team. Lechia Gdansk for over 4.5 corners is priced at 1.73, under at 2.00. For Gornik Zabrze, it's the same: over 4.5 - 1.73, under - 2.00. Both teams are capable of accumulating 5 or more corners, as confirmed by their averages. In this match, it's logical to consider bets on individual corner totals for both teams, especially given their attacking activity and the number of corners in recent matches.