Prediction for match Leganes — Sporting Gijon, 20.12.2025

Match Analysis: Leganes vs Sporting Gijon

On December 20th, a Segunda Division match will take place between Leganes and Sporting Gijon. According to the odds: a win for Leganes is priced at 2.21, a draw at 3.19, and a win for Sporting Gijon at 3.62. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Leganes - 43.42%, draw - 30.08%, Sporting Gijon - 26.51%. Leganes is considered the favorite, but the gap in chances with the opponent is not too large, and the probability of a draw is significant. This highlights the cautious approach of bookmakers regarding the match's outcome and scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Leganes played as follows: December 13 - Racing Santander 1-1 Leganes, December 7 - Leganes 0-0 Cordoba, November 30 - Real Zaragoza 3-2 Leganes. During the same period, Sporting Gijon played: December 16 - Sporting Gijon 0-2 Valencia, December 13 - Sporting Gijon 1-0 Granada, December 6 - Real Sociedad II 0-1 Sporting Gijon. In their head-to-head meeting on May 18, 2024, Leganes won 2-1. In terms of averages over the last five games: Leganes has 45.6% ball possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 3 offsides per match. Sporting Gijon has 47.4% possession, 3 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. This indicates a fairly competitive and disciplined game from both teams.

How Many Goals in the Leganes vs Sporting Gijon Match

In terms of scoring, Leganes averages 2.6 goals per game over the last five matches, scoring 1 and conceding 1.6. Sporting Gijon has notably lower figures: 1.6 goals on average, with 0.6 scored and 1 conceded. For matches with over 2.5 goals: Leganes had 3 out of 5 matches end with three or more goals, while all 5 of Sporting Gijon's matches were under. In terms of halves, Leganes had only 1 out of 5 games with two or more goals in the first half, but 4 out of 5 in the second half. Sporting Gijon never had two goals in the first half and only once in the second. Goal intervals show Leganes most frequently scores between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (40% each), while conceding most often at the end (76th-90th minutes, 44%). Sporting Gijon scores 75% of their goals at the end (76th-90th minutes) and concedes most frequently between the 46th-60th minutes (50%). Together, these data suggest a cautious style from both teams, especially Sporting Gijon, and a low likelihood of high scoring. Under 2.5 goals seems the most justified choice.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average over 5 matches: Leganes takes 4.4 corners, Sporting Gijon 6.4. Over the five-game stretch, Leganes had over 9.5 corners only once, while Sporting Gijon had it four times. Among the totals for which both betting options are available, the closest to the sum of averages (10.8) is the total of 10.5: over 10.5 corners is priced at 2.60, under 10.5 at 1.44. For corner outcomes, Leganes is favored with odds of 1.70. In this match, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 10.5 corners, given Sporting Gijon's high activity in taking corners and frequent large totals.