Prediction for match Leganes — Real Valladolid

Match Analysis: Leganes vs Real Valladolid

In the Segunda Division on January 11, 2026, Leganes will face Real Valladolid. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Leganes is at 2.53, a draw is priced at 3.12, and a win for Real Valladolid is at 3.06. The probability percentages for 1X2 are: Leganes 37.91%, draw 30.74%, Real Valladolid 31.35%. Based on these figures, Leganes has a slight edge, but there is no clear favorite as both teams have close chances. For total goals, over 2.5 is offered at 2.33, under 2.5 at 1.63. Both teams to score: yes - 1.90, no - 1.80. Double chance X2 is at 1.53. For individual totals: Leganes over 1 is at 1.68, Real Valladolid over 1 is at 1.92. The match is expected to be tightly contested, with a moderate lean towards Leganes.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Leganes averages 50% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Real Valladolid in the same period shows 47.4% possession, 4.6 yellows, 17.6 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Leganes' last three matches: 04.01.2026 Albacete - Leganes 1-3, 20.12.2025 Leganes - Sporting Gijon 0-1, 13.12.2025 Racing Santander - Leganes 1-1. For Real Valladolid: 03.01.2026 Real Valladolid - Racing Santander 1-1, 19.12.2025 Eibar - Real Valladolid 3-0, 13.12.2025 Real Valladolid - FC Andorra 0-1. The last head-to-head on 24.05.2025 ended with Leganes winning 3-0. It's also worth noting that in their last five matches, Leganes averages 5 corners, while Real Valladolid averages 5.6.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Match Leganes vs Real Valladolid

In the last five matches, both teams played over 2.5 goals twice and under 2.5 goals three times. The average goals per match for Leganes is 2.4, and for Real Valladolid, it's 2.6. In terms of goals scored: both teams average 1.2 goals per game, with Leganes conceding 1.2 and Real Valladolid 1.4. In the first half, Leganes surpassed the 1.5 goals mark twice out of five, Real Valladolid once. In the second half, Leganes surpassed it three times, as did Real Valladolid. For goal intervals: Leganes most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (40%), while Real Valladolid scores in the same interval (50%). In terms of goals conceded: Leganes most often concedes between the 76th and 90th minutes (63%), with Real Valladolid at 43% in the same timeframe. Considering the average scoring, over 2.5 goals occurrences, and second-half activity, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.67 seems justified. The option for both teams to score also has merit, but over 2.0 goals is more stable.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Leganes averages 5 corners over their last five matches, while Real Valladolid averages 5.6. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Leganes had 3 out of 5 matches over, Real Valladolid 2 out of 5. For the corners total odds: over 9.5 is at 2.11, under 9.5 at 1.60. In the line for corner outcomes, Real Valladolid is favored with odds of 2.00. Considering the averages and frequency of occurrences, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems reasonable for this match. Individual corner totals for each team can also be considered, given their average figures.