Prediction for match Legia Warszawa — Widzew Łódź

Match Analysis: Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź

In the Ekstraklasa on May 1, 2026, Legia Warszawa will face Widzew Łódź. The odds for a Legia Warszawa victory are 2.23, a draw is priced at 2.90, and a win for Widzew Łódź is at 3.56. The probability distribution for the outcomes is as follows: Legia Warszawa is at 41.75%, a draw at 32.10%, and Widzew Łódź at 26.15%. Bookmakers slightly favor Legia Warszawa, but the gap is not significant, and a draw is also seen as a very likely outcome. This is reflected in the odds, where a draw is given a relatively low price of 2.90, indicating a high likelihood of a closely contested match.

Teams' Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Legia Warszawa recorded the following results: lost to Lech Poznań 0-4 on April 26, defeated Zagłębie Lubin 1-0 on April 17, drew 1-1 with Górnik Zabrze on April 11, won against Pogoń Szczecin 2-0 on April 6, and drew 1-1 with Raków on March 22. Widzew Łódź, in the same period, won against Motor Lublin 2-0 on April 26, lost to Radomiak Radom 1-2 on April 18, defeated Nieciecza 1-0 on April 11, drew 1-1 with Raków on April 4, and ended in a goalless draw with Górnik Zabrze on March 22. On average, in their last five matches, Legia Warszawa had 47.2% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Widzew Łódź had 50.2% possession, 1 yellow card, 15.2 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last head-to-head meeting on November 2, 2025, the match ended in a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have shown a low scoring profile in their last five-match series: only 1 out of 5 matches for Legia Warszawa ended with over 2.5 goals, and similarly for Widzew Łódź, 1 out of 5. The average total goals for Legia Warszawa over five games is 2.2, and for Widzew Łódź, it's 1.6. Both teams score an average of 1 goal per game. Legia Warszawa concedes 1.2, while Widzew Łódź concedes 0.6. In terms of half-time performance, Legia Warszawa exceeded 1.5 goals in the first half in 1 out of 5 matches, while Widzew Łódź did not achieve this. In the second half, Legia Warszawa had 1 out of 5 over 1.5, and Widzew Łódź had 2 out of 5. Legia Warszawa most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (43%), while Widzew Łódź scores towards the end, from 76 to 90 minutes (67%). In terms of goals conceded, Legia Warszawa's distribution is even: 25% in each of the four intervals (0-15, 31-45, 46-60, 76-90), while Widzew Łódź concedes half of their goals between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes. Given the low scoring in recent matches, average totals, and frequent unders, betting on under 2.5 goals seems most justified. The odds for this outcome are 1.66.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On average, Legia Warszawa earns 5.4 corners per match, while Widzew Łódź records 4.4. In their last five matches, both teams had 2 out of 5 matches with over 9.5 corners. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the average values is 9.5. Both Legia Warszawa and Widzew Łódź had 2 overs and 3 unders in their last five matches. In this situation, it makes sense to consider cautious bets on a total corners line around 9.5, as neither team shows a strong over-profile in this aspect. It's also worth noting that both teams are not prone to a high number of bookings and offsides, which is further confirmed by their average values in recent matches.