Prediction for match Leon — Club America

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

In Liga MX on April 22, Leon will face Club America. According to the 1X2 odds, Club America is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.80, which corresponds to a 51.75% probability. A draw is offered at 3.74 with a probability of 24.91%, while Leon's win is valued at 3.99 (23.35%). Thus, bookmakers clearly lean towards a success for Club America, while Leon and a draw are priced significantly higher. The percentage breakdown confirms Club America's dominance in expectations for this match. It's important to note that the gap between the probabilities of Club America and Leon winning exceeds 28 percentage points, making the choice of favorite quite obvious. This is also reflected in the odds, where the difference between the teams is quite significant. Overall, in the outcome line, Club America's chances look most favorable.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Leon has been in good form: on April 19, they defeated Juarez 3-1, on April 11, they beat Puebla 1-0, and on April 5, they were stronger than Atlas 2-0. Also in their five-match series is a victory over Atletico San Luis 2-1 and a loss to Guadalajara 0-5. Club America in their last five matches played Toluca on April 19 (2-1), lost to Nashville on April 15 (0-1), drew with Cruz Azul on April 12 (1-1), had a goalless draw with Nashville on April 8, and shared points with Santos Laguna on April 5 (1-1). On average over five matches, Leon had 51.4% possession, committed 1.6 yellow cards, 16.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Club America showed 51% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head meeting on November 2, 2025, Club America was stronger than Leon with a 2-0 scoreline. These statistics reflect certain differences in the style and discipline of the teams, as well as in the number of fouls and cards.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Leon vs Club America Match

In terms of scoring, Leon shows a more pronounced attacking profile: in their last five matches, they averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, with an overall average total of 3 goals in matches involving Leon. In terms of over/under, Leon had 3 out of 5 games end with three or more goals (over 2.5), and 2 out of 5 were under. By halves, Leon twice exceeded the total of 1.5 in the first half and twice in the second. Club America, on the other hand, has shown a cautious style in their last five matches: the average total goals in matches involving this team is 1.6, scoring an average of 0.8 and conceding the same. Only 1 out of 5 matches for Club America exceeded the total of 2.5, while 4 out of 5 had a low-scoring result. By halves, Club America had more than 1.5 goals only once in the first half and twice in the second half. In terms of intervals, Leon most often scores between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (27% each), while Club America distributes their goals evenly across four intervals: 16th-30th, 31st-45th, 46th-60th, and 76th-90th (25% each). Leon most frequently concedes from the 31st to the 90th minute (25% in each of the four intervals), while Club America concedes most often from the 46th to the 60th minute (50%). Considering that Leon consistently scores and concedes, and Club America plays more conservatively, a bet on over 2.25 goals at 1.52 seems logical. This option is supported by Leon's average scoring and the possibility of Club America playing more openly against an attacking opponent.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Leon earns 4.4 corners per game, Club America - 4.6, which totals 9. In the last five matches, Leon surpassed the over 9.5 corners total four times out of five, while Club America did so twice out of five. Among the available corner totals, there are options for Over 9.5 (1.80) and Under 9.5 (1.88), which are closest to the sum of both teams' average figures. A win on corners is more often predicted for Club America (1.77). Based on the statistics, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially considering Leon's frequent overs. One could also consider a bet on Club America for corners, but the main focus should be on the total, as both teams regularly deliver at least 4-5 corners per match.